Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

John Carlson vs Shane Pinto

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Shane Pinto's 1.72.

Carlson had 60 points in 71 games; Pinto had 46 in 72 games.

This week Carlson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Pinto has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Carlson for 1.6 ESPN points to Pinto's 1.3.

John Carlson has the better number in 18 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Carlson's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 52.0%, Power-play share 55.5%, Power-play points 14.

Pinto's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.014, Hits 94, Shorthanded points 4.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

John Carlson

2.14

fantasy points per game

Shane Pinto

1.72

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, John Carlson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCarlsonPinto
Goals (+2)0.390.64
Assists (+1)0.650.32
Power-play points (+0.5)0.100.03
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.03
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.220.22
Hits (+0.1)0.040.13
Blocks (+0.5)0.750.35

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Carlson vs Pinto

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CarlsonPinto
4Team record in 9 meetings5
4Points in those games13

Carlson 1G 3A, 19 SOG · Pinto 6G 7A, 20 SOG

3Shots blocked by the other0

Carlson blocked 3 of Pinto's shots; Pinto blocked 0 of Carlson's.

On the ice against each other (Carlson's side)

11:28 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Carlson's side

Shot attempts
12–5
70.6%
Expected goals
0.5–0.4
57.7%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between John Carlson and Shane Pinto
DateScoreCarlsonPinto
2026-01-01WSH 3–4 OTT0G 0A 2S0G 2A 1S
2025-10-25WSH 1–7 OTT0G 0A 1S1G 0A 4S
2025-03-03WSH 5–4 OTT0G 0A 3S2G 0A 3S
2025-01-30WSH 4–5 OTT0G 1A 2S1G 1A 2S
2025-01-16WSH 1–0 OTT0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2024-04-07WSH 2–3 OTT0G 0A 2S0G 1A 4S
2024-02-26WSH 6–3 OTT1G 0A 2S1G 2A 1S
2022-12-22WSH 3–2 OTT0G 1A 3S0G 1A 1S
2022-10-20WSH 2–5 OTT0G 1A 3S1G 0A 4S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CarlsonPinto

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

John Carlson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.6 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

Shane Pinto

1games

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TOR1.3 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)

FAQ

Should I start John Carlson or Shane Pinto in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Shane Pinto's 1.72. Carlson had 60 points in 71 games; Pinto had 46 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, John Carlson or Shane Pinto?
On 2025-26 numbers, John Carlson leads in 18 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Carlson and Pinto done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Carlson's team went 4–5. Carlson had 4 points (1 goals) and Pinto had 13 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →