Who to start · 2025-26
John Carlson vs Tim Stützle
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tim Stützle projects to 2.33 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Carlson's 2.10.
Carlson had 60 points in 71 games; Stützle had 83 in 80 games.
This week Carlson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Stützle has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Carlson for 1.6 ESPN points to Stützle's 1.6.
Tim Stützle has the better number in 23 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Carlson's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 0.96, High-danger chances 54.5%, Faceoffs won 0.
Stützle's biggest edges: Hits 126, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.70, 20+ mph bursts 364.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
John Carlson
2.14
fantasy points per game
Tim Stützle
2.33
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tim Stützle has the edge.
| Points per game from | Carlson | Stützle |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.39 | 0.85 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.65 | 0.61 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.16 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.75 | 0.28 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Carlson vs Stützle
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Carlson 3G 4A, 29 SOG · Stützle 0G 10A, 23 SOG
Carlson blocked 3 of Stützle's shots; Stützle blocked 3 of Carlson's.
On the ice against each other (Carlson's side)
6:59 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Carlson's side
- Shot attempts
- 7–14
- 33.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–1.2
- 20.1%
- Goals
- 0–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Carlson | Stützle |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | WSH 3–4 OTT | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-10-25 | WSH 1–7 OTT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2025-03-03 | WSH 5–4 OTT | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 6S |
| 2025-01-30 | WSH 4–5 OTT | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-01-16 | WSH 1–0 OTT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-02-26 | WSH 6–3 OTT | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-10-18 | WSH 1–6 OTT | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 3A 1S |
| 2022-12-22 | WSH 3–2 OTT | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-10-20 | WSH 2–5 OTT | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-02-13 | WSH 1–4 OTT | 0G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2021-10-25 | WSH 7–5 OTT | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
John Carlson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.6 ptsOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Tim Stützle
1games
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TOR1.6 ptsOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start John Carlson or Tim Stützle in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tim Stützle projects to 2.33 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Carlson's 2.10. Carlson had 60 points in 71 games; Stützle had 83 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, John Carlson or Tim Stützle?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tim Stützle leads in 23 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Carlson and Stützle done against each other?
- In 11 games against each other in our data, Carlson's team went 5–6. Carlson had 7 points (3 goals) and Stützle had 10 (0 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →