Who to start · 2025-26
John Carlson vs Timo Meier
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Timo Meier's 1.74.
Carlson had 60 points in 71 games; Meier had 44 in 77 games.
This week Carlson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Meier has 1 left. We project Meier for 1.9 ESPN points to Carlson's 1.6.
John Carlson has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Carlson's biggest edges: Luck Meter +52, Goals above expected +2.6, Plus/minus +9.
Meier's biggest edges: Hits 131, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.17, Blocked shots 53.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
John Carlson
2.10
fantasy points per game
Timo Meier
1.74
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, John Carlson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Carlson | Meier |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.37 | 0.58 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.61 | 0.24 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.17 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.76 | 0.32 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Carlson vs Meier
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Carlson 2G 16A, 31 SOG · Meier 3G 12A, 48 SOG
Carlson blocked 4 of Meier's shots; Meier blocked 1 of Carlson's.
On the ice against each other (Carlson's side)
4:51 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Carlson's side
- Shot attempts
- 6–4
- 60.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.3
- 50.1%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Carlson | Meier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-27 | WSH 4–3 NJD | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-11-30 | WSH 6–5 NJD | 0G 3A 5S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2024-11-23 | WSH 2–3 NJD | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 7S |
| 2024-10-19 | WSH 6–5 NJD | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 3A 2S |
| 2024-10-12 | WSH 3–5 NJD | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-02-20 | WSH 6–2 NJD | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-11-10 | WSH 4–2 NJD | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2023-10-25 | WSH 6–4 NJD | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2023-04-13 | WSH 4–5 NJD | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-01-26 | WSH 1–4 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 9S |
| 2021-11-20 | WSH 4–0 SJS | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2020-01-05 | WSH 5–4 SJS | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 2A 1S |
Latest 12 of 17 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
John Carlson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.6 ptsOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Timo Meier
2games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs PHIOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.9 ptsOpp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start John Carlson or Timo Meier in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Timo Meier's 1.74. Carlson had 60 points in 71 games; Meier had 44 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, John Carlson or Timo Meier?
- On 2025-26 numbers, John Carlson leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Carlson and Meier done against each other?
- In 17 games against each other in our data, Carlson's team went 12–5. Carlson had 18 points (2 goals) and Meier had 15 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →