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Who to start · 2025-26

John Carlson vs Tyler Bertuzzi

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Bertuzzi's 1.52.

Carlson had 60 points in 71 games; Bertuzzi had 58 in 79 games.

This week Carlson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Bertuzzi has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Carlson for 1.6 ESPN points to Bertuzzi's 1.6.

John Carlson has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Carlson's biggest edges: Top skating speed 22.5, High-danger chances 54.5%, Plus/minus +9.

Bertuzzi's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.027, Penalty minutes 42, Hits 55.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

John Carlson

2.10

fantasy points per game

Tyler Bertuzzi

1.52

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, John Carlson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCarlsonBertuzzi
Goals (+2)0.370.71
Assists (+1)0.610.29
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.230.19
Hits (+0.1)0.040.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.760.13

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Carlson vs Bertuzzi

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CarlsonBertuzzi
9Team record in 16 meetings7
12Points in those games8

Carlson 0G 12A, 44 SOG · Bertuzzi 5G 3A, 34 SOG

2Hits on each other0
3Shots blocked by the other0

Carlson blocked 3 of Bertuzzi's shots; Bertuzzi blocked 0 of Carlson's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Carlson's side)

12:51 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Carlson's side

Shot attempts
9–16
36.0%
Expected goals
0.8–0.8
50.0%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between John Carlson and Tyler Bertuzzi
DateScoreCarlsonBertuzzi
2026-01-09WSH 5–1 CHI0G 2A 0S0G 0A 4S
2026-01-03WSH 2–3 CHI0G 0A 5S0G 1A 3S
2025-04-04WSH 5–3 CHI0G 3A 2S1G 0A 2S
2024-12-17WSH 2–3 CHI0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2024-03-28WSH 1–5 TOR0G 0A 4S2G 0A 6S
2024-03-20WSH 3–7 TOR0G 1A 4S1G 0A 2S
2023-10-24WSH 1–4 TOR0G 1A 1S0G 1A 2S
2023-04-11WSH 2–5 BOS0G 1A 3S1G 0A 2S
2021-12-31WSH 3–1 DET0G 1A 4S0G 0A 0S
2021-11-11WSH 2–0 DET0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2021-10-27WSH 2–3 DET0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2019-11-30WSH 5–2 DET0G 1A 2S0G 1A 1S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CarlsonBertuzzi

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

John Carlson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.6 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

Tyler Bertuzzi

3games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ VGK
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ UTA
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF1.6 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)

FAQ

Should I start John Carlson or Tyler Bertuzzi in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Bertuzzi's 1.52. Carlson had 60 points in 71 games; Bertuzzi had 58 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, John Carlson or Tyler Bertuzzi?
On 2025-26 numbers, John Carlson leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Carlson and Bertuzzi done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Carlson's team went 9–7. Carlson had 12 points (0 goals) and Bertuzzi had 8 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →