Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

John Carlson vs Vasily Podkolzin

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vasily Podkolzin's 1.91.

Carlson had 60 points in 71 games; Podkolzin had 37 in 82 games.

This week Carlson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Podkolzin has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Carlson for 1.6 ESPN points to Podkolzin's 1.3.

John Carlson has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Carlson's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 0.96, Power-play time per game 2:42, Faceoffs won 0.

Podkolzin's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.006, Hits 242, 20+ mph bursts 191.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 3 G, 1 A, 3 PPP, 11 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

John Carlson

2.10

fantasy points per game

Vasily Podkolzin

1.91

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, John Carlson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCarlsonPodkolzin
Goals (+2)0.370.76
Assists (+1)0.610.25
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.10
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.230.21
Hits (+0.1)0.040.30
Blocks (+0.5)0.760.28

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Carlson vs Podkolzin

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CarlsonPodkolzin
10Team record in 14 meetings4
20Points in those games8

Carlson 1G 19A, 28 SOG · Podkolzin 3G 5A, 24 SOG

0Hits on each other14
4Shots blocked by the other1

Carlson blocked 4 of Podkolzin's shots; Podkolzin blocked 1 of Carlson's.

On the ice against each other (Carlson's side)

65:24 at 5-on-5 over 9 games, 2025-26, from Carlson's side

Shot attempts
63–78
44.7%
Expected goals
2.2–4.0
36.3%
Goals
4–4

Games against each other

Games between John Carlson and Vasily Podkolzin
DateScoreCarlsonPodkolzin
2026-04-30 · POANA 5–2 EDM0G 1A 2S1G 0A 3S
2026-04-28 · POANA 1–4 EDM0G 0A 4S1G 0A 1S
2026-04-26 · POANA 4–3 EDM0G 2A 2S0G 0A 0S
2026-04-24 · POANA 7–4 EDM0G 1A 3S1G 0A 3S
2026-04-22 · POANA 6–4 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 1A 3S
2026-04-20 · POANA 3–4 EDM0G 1A 0S0G 2A 2S
2026-03-28ANA 2–4 EDM0G 2A 4S0G 1A 3S
2026-01-24WSH 5–6 EDM0G 2A 0S0G 0A 3S
2025-11-19WSH 7–4 EDM0G 3A 3S0G 0A 0S
2025-02-23WSH 7–3 EDM0G 2A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-01-21WSH 3–2 EDM0G 1A 0S0G 1A 2S
2024-03-16WSH 2–1 VAN0G 1A 5S0G 0A 0S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CarlsonPodkolzin

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

John Carlson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.6 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

Vasily Podkolzin

3games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to RWLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to RWLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.3 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start John Carlson or Vasily Podkolzin in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vasily Podkolzin's 1.91. Carlson had 60 points in 71 games; Podkolzin had 37 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, John Carlson or Vasily Podkolzin?
On 2025-26 numbers, John Carlson leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Carlson and Podkolzin done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Carlson's team went 10–4. Carlson had 20 points (1 goals) and Podkolzin had 8 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →