Who to start · 2025-26
John Carlson vs Wyatt Johnston
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Wyatt Johnston projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Carlson's 2.10.
Carlson had 60 points in 71 games; Johnston had 86 in 82 games.
This week Carlson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Johnston has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Johnston for 2.5 ESPN points to Carlson's 1.6.
They split the 34 stats both are ranked on 16–16.
Carlson's biggest edges: Corsi 54.5%, Fenwick 54.3%, Hardest shot 99.8.
Johnston's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.003, Hits 56, Blocked shots 55.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
John Carlson
2.10
fantasy points per game
Wyatt Johnston
2.41
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Wyatt Johnston has the edge.
| Points per game from | Carlson | Johnston |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.37 | 1.03 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.61 | 0.47 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.24 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.76 | 0.35 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Carlson vs Johnston
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Carlson 0G 3A, 18 SOG · Johnston 2G 2A, 21 SOG
Carlson blocked 2 of Johnston's shots; Johnston blocked 2 of Carlson's.
On the ice against each other (Carlson's side)
12:56 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Carlson's side
- Shot attempts
- 8–11
- 42.1%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.5
- 37.3%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Carlson | Johnston |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | WSH 1–4 DAL | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2025-10-28 | WSH 0–1 DAL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-16 | WSH 1–3 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-10-17 | WSH 3–2 DAL | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-01-27 | WSH 4–5 DAL | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2023-12-07 | WSH 4–5 DAL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-12-15 | WSH 1–2 DAL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-10-27 | WSH 0–2 DAL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
John Carlson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.6 ptsOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Wyatt Johnston
2games (1 left)
2.5proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.5 ptsOpp allows 10th-most FP to CSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start John Carlson or Wyatt Johnston in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Wyatt Johnston projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Carlson's 2.10. Carlson had 60 points in 71 games; Johnston had 86 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, John Carlson or Wyatt Johnston?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 16–16 across 34 stats where both qualify.
- How have Carlson and Johnston done against each other?
- In 8 games against each other in our data, Carlson's team went 1–7. Carlson had 3 points (0 goals) and Johnston had 4 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →