Who to start · 2025-26
John Carlson vs Zach Werenski
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Zach Werenski projects to 2.59 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Carlson's 2.10.
Carlson had 60 points in 71 games; Werenski had 81 in 75 games.
This week Carlson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Werenski has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Werenski for 1.9 ESPN points to Carlson's 1.6.
Zach Werenski has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Carlson's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 32, Hardest shot 99.8, Blocked shots 106.
Werenski's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.055, 20+ mph bursts 123, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.09.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
John Carlson
2.10
fantasy points per game
Zach Werenski
2.59
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Zach Werenski has the edge.
| Points per game from | Carlson | Werenski |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.37 | 0.55 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.61 | 0.86 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.76 | 0.62 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Carlson vs Werenski
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Carlson 5G 21A, 68 SOG · Werenski 4G 6A, 79 SOG
Carlson blocked 5 of Werenski's shots; Werenski blocked 1 of Carlson's.
On the ice against each other (Carlson's side)
11:47 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Carlson's side
- Shot attempts
- 9–10
- 47.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–0.4
- 47.8%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Carlson | Werenski |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-24 | WSH 5–1 CBJ | 1G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-10-24 | WSH 5–1 CBJ | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-04-12 | WSH 0–7 CBJ | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-12-12 | WSH 2–1 CBJ | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2024-11-02 | WSH 7–2 CBJ | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-12-21 | WSH 3–2 CBJ | 0G 3A 3S | 0G 0A 8S |
| 2023-11-18 | WSH 4–3 CBJ | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-11-04 | WSH 2–1 CBJ | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-02-08 | WSH 4–5 CBJ | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-03-17 | WSH 7–2 CBJ | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2021-12-04 | WSH 3–1 CBJ | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2021-11-12 | WSH 4–3 CBJ | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 26 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
John Carlson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.6 ptsOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Zach Werenski
2games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs BUFOpp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.9 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start John Carlson or Zach Werenski in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Zach Werenski projects to 2.59 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Carlson's 2.10. Carlson had 60 points in 71 games; Werenski had 81 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, John Carlson or Zach Werenski?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Zach Werenski leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Carlson and Werenski done against each other?
- In 26 games against each other in our data, Carlson's team went 19–7. Carlson had 26 points (5 goals) and Werenski had 10 (4 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →