Who to start · 2025-26
John Tavares vs Tyler Toffoli
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Tavares projects to 1.80 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.
Tavares had 71 points in 82 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.
This week Tavares has 1 game left; Toffoli has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Tavares for 1.7 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.5.
John Tavares has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Tavares's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 801, Top skating speed 22.7, Forecheck xG /60 0.34.
Toffoli's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.64, Offensive-zone time 45.2%, On-ice PDO 1006.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
John Tavares
1.80
fantasy points per game
Tyler Toffoli
1.35
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, John Tavares has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tavares | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.67 | 0.45 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.49 | 0.36 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tavares vs Toffoli
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tavares 8G 16A, 64 SOG · Toffoli 7G 9A, 56 SOG
Tavares's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 1–0 · Tavares's defensive zone 1–0 (2020-21)
On the ice against each other (Tavares's side)
5:04 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tavares's side
- Shot attempts
- 3–7
- 30.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.3
- 2.2%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tavares | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | TOR 1–4 SJS | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-12-11 | TOR 2–3 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-03-27 | TOR 5–6 SJS | 1G 1A 2S | 2G 1A 7S |
| 2025-03-03 | TOR 2–3 SJS | 1G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-03-02 | TOR 2–1 CGY | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-12-10 | TOR 5–4 CGY | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-10-13 | TOR 2–1 MTL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2021-05-20 · PO | TOR 1–2 MTL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2021-05-08 | TOR 3–2 MTL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2021-05-06 | TOR 5–2 MTL | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2021-05-03 | TOR 2–3 MTL | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2021-04-28 | TOR 4–1 MTL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 24 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
John Tavares
3games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.7 ptsLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Tyler Toffoli
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 ptsOpp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start John Tavares or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Tavares projects to 1.80 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Tavares had 71 points in 82 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, John Tavares or Tyler Toffoli?
- On 2025-26 numbers, John Tavares leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tavares and Toffoli done against each other?
- In 24 games against each other in our data, Tavares's team went 15–9. Tavares had 24 points (8 goals) and Toffoli had 16 (7 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Tavares or Toffoli?
- Against each other, Tavares has won 2 and Toffoli 0 of their 2 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →