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Who to start · 2025-26

John Tavares vs Wyatt Johnston

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Wyatt Johnston projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Tavares's 1.80.

Tavares had 71 points in 82 games; Johnston had 86 in 82 games.

This week Tavares has 1 game left; Johnston has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Johnston for 2.5 ESPN points to Tavares's 1.7.

Wyatt Johnston has the better number in 24 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Tavares's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 57.5%, Draw Equity /100 +0.071, Forecheck xG /60 0.34.

Johnston's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.9, Blocked shots 55, Transition attempts /60 1.34.

Head to head on the dot, Tavares leads Johnston 12–9.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

John Tavares

1.80

fantasy points per game

Wyatt Johnston

2.41

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Wyatt Johnston has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTavaresJohnston
Goals (+2)0.671.03
Assists (+1)0.490.47
Power-play points (+0.5)0.110.24
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.240.26
Hits (+0.1)0.090.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.35

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tavares vs Johnston

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TavaresJohnston
5Team record in 8 meetings3
7Points in those games5

Tavares 4G 3A, 23 SOG · Johnston 2G 3A, 16 SOG

12Faceoffs against each other9

Tavares's offensive zone 4–4 · neutral 6–4 · Tavares's defensive zone 2–1 (2022-23 to 2025-26)

2Hits on each other0
1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Tavares's side)

11:34 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tavares's side

Shot attempts
13–11
54.2%
Expected goals
0.5–0.4
56.4%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between John Tavares and Wyatt Johnston
DateScoreTavaresJohnston
2026-04-13TOR 5–6 DAL1G 0A 3S1G 0A 3S
2025-12-21TOR 1–5 DAL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-01-14TOR 1–4 DAL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2024-12-18TOR 5–3 DAL0G 1A 0S0G 1A 2S
2024-02-07TOR 5–4 DAL1G 2A 1S1G 0A 3S
2023-10-26TOR 4–1 DAL1G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-06TOR 4–0 DAL1G 0A 5S0G 0A 3S
2022-10-20TOR 3–2 DAL0G 0A 8S0G 1A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TavaresJohnston

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

John Tavares

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.7 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Wyatt Johnston

2games (1 left)

2.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.5 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to CSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

FAQ

Should I start John Tavares or Wyatt Johnston in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Wyatt Johnston projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Tavares's 1.80. Tavares had 71 points in 82 games; Johnston had 86 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, John Tavares or Wyatt Johnston?
On 2025-26 numbers, Wyatt Johnston leads in 24 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tavares and Johnston done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Tavares's team went 5–3. Tavares had 7 points (4 goals) and Johnston had 5 (2 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Tavares or Johnston?
Against each other, Tavares has won 12 and Johnston 9 of their 21 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →