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Who to start · 2025-26

Jordan Eberle vs Pavel Buchnevich

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jordan Eberle projects to 1.74 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.

Eberle had 55 points in 80 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games.

This week Eberle has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Buchnevich has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Eberle for 3.0 ESPN points to Buchnevich's 1.5.

Jordan Eberle has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Eberle's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.56, Plus/minus +2, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.029.

Buchnevich's biggest edges: Hardest shot 88.9, High-danger chances 50.1%, Sequence xG 52.5%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jordan Eberle

1.74

fantasy points per game

Pavel Buchnevich

1.30

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jordan Eberle has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromEberleBuchnevich
Goals (+2)0.730.46
Assists (+1)0.340.32
Power-play points (+0.5)0.130.08
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.220.16
Hits (+0.1)0.060.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.250.23

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Eberle vs Buchnevich

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

EberleBuchnevich
15Team record in 30 meetings15
19Points in those games17

Eberle 4G 15A, 67 SOG · Buchnevich 9G 8A, 51 SOG

0Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other1

Eberle blocked 1 of Buchnevich's shots; Buchnevich blocked 1 of Eberle's.

On the ice against each other (Eberle's side)

18:15 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Eberle's side

Shot attempts
16–15
51.6%
Expected goals
0.6–1.5
29.1%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Jordan Eberle and Pavel Buchnevich
DateScoreEberleBuchnevich
2026-03-04SEA 2–3 STL0G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2026-02-26SEA 1–5 STL0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2025-11-08SEA 4–3 STL0G 1A 5S0G 1A 0S
2025-04-12SEA 4–3 STL0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-02-25SEA 2–7 STL0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S
2024-10-08SEA 2–3 STL0G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S
2024-04-14SEA 1–4 STL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2024-01-26SEA 3–4 STL0G 0A 2S2G 1A 2S
2023-10-14SEA 1–2 STL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2023-02-28SEA 5–3 STL0G 0A 1S1G 1A 2S
2022-12-20SEA 5–2 STL0G 0A 4S1G 0A 3S
2022-04-06SEA 1–4 STL1G 0A 4S0G 1A 1S

Latest 12 of 30 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

EberleBuchnevich

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jordan Eberle

3games (2 left)

3.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to RWLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.3 pts
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to RWLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

Pavel Buchnevich

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to LWLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)

FAQ

Should I start Jordan Eberle or Pavel Buchnevich in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jordan Eberle projects to 1.74 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Eberle had 55 points in 80 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jordan Eberle or Pavel Buchnevich?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jordan Eberle leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Eberle and Buchnevich done against each other?
In 30 games against each other in our data, Eberle's team went 15–15. Eberle had 19 points (4 goals) and Buchnevich had 17 (9 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →