Who to start · 2025-26
Josh Morrissey vs Pavel Buchnevich
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Josh Morrissey projects to 1.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.
Morrissey had 55 points in 77 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games.
This week Morrissey has 1 game left; Buchnevich has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Morrissey for 2.0 ESPN points to Buchnevich's 1.5.
Josh Morrissey has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Morrissey's biggest edges: Luck Meter +52, Plus/minus +6, Goals above expected +3.9.
Buchnevich's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.31, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.022, Hardest shot 88.9.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Josh Morrissey
1.96
fantasy points per game
Pavel Buchnevich
1.30
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Josh Morrissey has the edge.
| Points per game from | Morrissey | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.34 | 0.46 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.50 | 0.32 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.78 | 0.23 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Morrissey vs Buchnevich
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Morrissey 2G 13A, 39 SOG · Buchnevich 8G 11A, 51 SOG
Morrissey blocked 1 of Buchnevich's shots; Buchnevich blocked 2 of Morrissey's.
On the ice against each other (Morrissey's side)
21:39 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Morrissey's side
- Shot attempts
- 15–23
- 39.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–1.4
- 19.0%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Morrissey | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | WPG 3–2 STL | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2026-03-15 | WPG 3–2 STL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-01-20 | WPG 3–1 STL | 1G 2A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-12-17 | WPG 0–1 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-05-04 · PO | WPG 4–3 STL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2025-05-02 · PO | WPG 2–5 STL | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-04-30 · PO | WPG 5–3 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-04-27 · PO | WPG 1–5 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-04-24 · PO | WPG 2–7 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 3G 1A 5S |
| 2025-04-21 · PO | WPG 2–1 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-04-19 · PO | WPG 5–3 STL | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-04-07 | WPG 3–1 STL | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 23 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Josh Morrissey
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET2.0 ptsOpp allows 15th-most FP to DLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Pavel Buchnevich
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DALOpp allows 11th-most FP to LWLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Josh Morrissey or Pavel Buchnevich in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Josh Morrissey projects to 1.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Morrissey had 55 points in 77 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Josh Morrissey or Pavel Buchnevich?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Josh Morrissey leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Morrissey and Buchnevich done against each other?
- In 23 games against each other in our data, Morrissey's team went 15–8. Morrissey had 15 points (2 goals) and Buchnevich had 19 (8 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →