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Who to start · 2025-26

Josh Morrissey vs Tomas Hertl

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Josh Morrissey projects to 1.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88.

Morrissey had 55 points in 77 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.

This week Morrissey has 1 game left; Hertl has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Morrissey for 2.0 ESPN points to Hertl's 2.0.

Tomas Hertl has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Morrissey's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.9, Luck Meter +52, On-ice PDO 1026.

Hertl's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.010, High-danger chances 59.2%, Transition attempts /60 1.17.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Josh Morrissey

1.96

fantasy points per game

Tomas Hertl

1.88

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Josh Morrissey has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMorrisseyHertl
Goals (+2)0.340.63
Assists (+1)0.500.37
Power-play points (+0.5)0.100.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.27
Hits (+0.1)0.040.14
Blocks (+0.5)0.780.30

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Morrissey vs Hertl

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MorrisseyHertl
8Team record in 19 meetings11
12Points in those games11

Morrissey 2G 10A, 39 SOG · Hertl 6G 5A, 54 SOG

1Hits on each other2
3Shots blocked by the other3

Morrissey blocked 3 of Hertl's shots; Hertl blocked 3 of Morrissey's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Morrissey's side)

11:26 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Morrissey's side

Shot attempts
11–13
45.8%
Expected goals
0.7–0.6
55.0%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Josh Morrissey and Tomas Hertl
DateScoreMorrisseyHertl
2026-04-13WPG 2–6 VGK0G 0A 3S0G 0A 4S
2026-03-24WPG 4–1 VGK0G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2026-01-06WPG 3–4 VGK0G 1A 0S1G 1A 5S
2024-12-12WPG 2–3 VGK1G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2024-11-29WPG 3–4 VGK0G 2A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-01-04WPG 2–1 SJS0G 0A 6S0G 0A 3S
2023-12-12WPG 1–2 SJS0G 0A 7S0G 0A 2S
2023-04-10WPG 6–2 SJS1G 2A 3S0G 1A 2S
2023-03-28WPG 0–3 SJS0G 0A 4S0G 1A 1S
2023-03-06WPG 2–3 SJS0G 1A 1S1G 0A 5S
2021-11-11WPG 4–1 SJS0G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S
2021-10-30WPG 1–2 SJS0G 0A 3S1G 0A 6S

Latest 12 of 19 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MorrisseyHertl

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Josh Morrissey

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET2.0 pts
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to DLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

Tomas Hertl

3games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

FAQ

Should I start Josh Morrissey or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Josh Morrissey projects to 1.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88. Morrissey had 55 points in 77 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Josh Morrissey or Tomas Hertl?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tomas Hertl leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Morrissey and Hertl done against each other?
In 19 games against each other in our data, Morrissey's team went 8–11. Morrissey had 12 points (2 goals) and Hertl had 11 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →