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Who to start · 2025-26

Josh Morrissey vs Tyler Toffoli

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Josh Morrissey projects to 1.97 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.

Morrissey had 55 points in 77 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.

This week Morrissey has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Toffoli has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Morrissey for 3.3 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.5.

Josh Morrissey has the better number in 24 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Morrissey's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Goals above expected +4.9, 20+ mph bursts 53.

Toffoli's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.64, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.004, Hardest shot 89.2.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Josh Morrissey

1.97

fantasy points per game

Tyler Toffoli

1.35

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Josh Morrissey has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMorrisseyToffoli
Goals (+2)0.340.45
Assists (+1)0.500.36
Power-play points (+0.5)0.100.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.210.21
Hits (+0.1)0.040.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.780.18

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Morrissey vs Toffoli

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MorrisseyToffoli
15Team record in 30 meetings15
20Points in those games23

Morrissey 5G 15A, 60 SOG · Toffoli 12G 11A, 76 SOG

4Hits on each other6
2Shots blocked by the other2

Morrissey blocked 2 of Toffoli's shots; Toffoli blocked 2 of Morrissey's.

0Penalties drawn off the other2
0Goals set up by the other1

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice against each other (Morrissey's side)

5:31 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Morrissey's side

Shot attempts
3–5
37.5%
Expected goals
0.2–0.3
44.1%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Josh Morrissey and Tyler Toffoli
DateScoreMorrisseyToffoli
2025-11-07WPG 1–2 SJS1G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S
2025-02-24WPG 2–1 SJS1G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2024-12-17WPG 4–3 SJS0G 0A 2S1G 1A 3S
2024-10-18WPG 8–3 SJS1G 0A 3S1G 1A 2S
2023-11-14WPG 6–3 NJD0G 4A 3S0G 0A 2S
2023-04-05WPG 1–3 CGY0G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S
2023-01-03WPG 3–2 CGY1G 0A 3S0G 1A 4S
2022-11-12WPG 2–3 CGY0G 2A 1S0G 0A 4S
2022-04-29WPG 3–1 CGY0G 1A 4S0G 0A 3S
2022-02-21WPG 1–3 CGY0G 0A 0S1G 0A 2S
2021-06-07 · POWPG 2–3 MTL0G 0A 1S1G 1A 3S
2021-06-06 · POWPG 1–5 MTL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S

Latest 12 of 30 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MorrisseyToffoli

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Josh Morrissey

2games

3.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS1.5 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to D
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.8 pts
    Schedule edge −2.9 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)

Tyler Toffoli

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)

FAQ

Should I start Josh Morrissey or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Josh Morrissey projects to 1.97 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Morrissey had 55 points in 77 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Josh Morrissey or Tyler Toffoli?
On 2025-26 numbers, Josh Morrissey leads in 24 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Morrissey and Toffoli done against each other?
In 30 games against each other in our data, Morrissey's team went 15–15. Morrissey had 20 points (5 goals) and Toffoli had 23 (12 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →