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Who to start · 2025-26

Kiefer Sherwood vs Tom Wilson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kiefer Sherwood's 1.77.

Sherwood had 36 points in 72 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games.

This week Sherwood has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Wilson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Wilson for 2.3 ESPN points to Sherwood's 1.8.

Tom Wilson has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Sherwood's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.05, Transition attempts /60 1.58, Hardest shot 95.8.

Wilson's biggest edges: Plus/minus +15, Luck Meter +40, On-ice PDO 1017.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Kiefer Sherwood

1.77

fantasy points per game

Tom Wilson

2.24

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Tom Wilson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSherwoodWilson
Goals (+2)0.600.78
Assists (+1)0.170.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.080.08
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.230.20
Hits (+0.1)0.490.25
Blocks (+0.5)0.200.44

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Sherwood vs Wilson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SherwoodWilson
3Team record in 4 meetings1
3Points in those games3

Sherwood 1G 2A, 9 SOG · Wilson 1G 2A, 6 SOG

1Hits on each other0
0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Sherwood's side)

2:22 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Sherwood's side

Shot attempts
1–6
14.3%
Expected goals
0.2–0.4
38.6%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Kiefer Sherwood and Tom Wilson
DateScoreSherwoodWilson
2025-10-19VAN 4–3 WSH1G 0A 1S0G 2A 1S
2025-01-08VAN 1–2 WSH0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2023-12-30NSH 3–2 WSH0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2018-12-02ANA 6–5 WSH0G 1A 2S1G 0A 4S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SherwoodWilson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Kiefer Sherwood

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.8 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to LWSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

Tom Wilson

2games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.3 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Kiefer Sherwood or Tom Wilson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kiefer Sherwood's 1.77. Sherwood had 36 points in 72 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Kiefer Sherwood or Tom Wilson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tom Wilson leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Sherwood and Wilson done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Sherwood's team went 3–1. Sherwood had 3 points (1 goals) and Wilson had 3 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →