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Who to start · 2025-26

Kirill Kaprizov vs Mario Ferraro

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Kaprizov projects to 2.50 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71.

Kaprizov had 89 points in 78 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games.

This week Kaprizov has 1 game left; Ferraro has 1 left. We project Kaprizov for 1.9 ESPN points to Ferraro's 1.6.

Kirill Kaprizov has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Kaprizov's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.9%, Offensive-zone start % 67.5%, Power-play share 77.0%.

Ferraro's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Luck Meter +50, Blocked shots 150.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Kirill Kaprizov

2.50

fantasy points per game

Mario Ferraro

1.71

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kirill Kaprizov has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKaprizovFerraro
Goals (+2)1.210.29
Assists (+1)0.530.18
Power-play points (+0.5)0.190.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.340.13
Hits (+0.1)0.070.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.160.95

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kaprizov vs Ferraro

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KaprizovFerraro
12Team record in 21 meetings9
27Points in those games5

Kaprizov 12G 15A, 68 SOG · Ferraro 2G 3A, 26 SOG

2Hits on each other4
1Shots blocked by the other6

Kaprizov blocked 1 of Ferraro's shots; Ferraro blocked 6 of Kaprizov's.

On the ice against each other (Kaprizov's side)

23:22 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Kaprizov's side

Shot attempts
18–15
54.5%
Expected goals
0.9–0.5
64.6%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Kirill Kaprizov and Mario Ferraro
DateScoreKaprizovFerraro
2025-12-31MIN 3–4 SJS0G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S
2025-11-11MIN 1–2 SJS0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2025-10-26MIN 5–6 SJS0G 3A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-04-09MIN 8–7 SJS2G 1A 9S0G 0A 5S
2024-11-07MIN 5–2 SJS0G 3A 3S0G 0A 0S
2024-04-13MIN 6–2 SJS2G 1A 6S1G 1A 4S
2024-03-28MIN 3–1 SJS0G 2A 2S0G 0A 0S
2024-03-03MIN 4–3 SJS3G 0A 5S0G 0A 0S
2022-12-22MIN 2–5 SJS0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2022-11-13MIN 2–3 SJS0G 1A 4S0G 0A 3S
2022-04-17MIN 5–4 SJS0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2021-12-09MIN 5–2 SJS1G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S

Latest 12 of 21 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KaprizovFerraro

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Kirill Kaprizov

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to LWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.9 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

Mario Ferraro

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.6 pts
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to DLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

FAQ

Should I start Kirill Kaprizov or Mario Ferraro in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Kaprizov projects to 2.50 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71. Kaprizov had 89 points in 78 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Kirill Kaprizov or Mario Ferraro?
On 2025-26 numbers, Kirill Kaprizov leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kaprizov and Ferraro done against each other?
In 21 games against each other in our data, Kaprizov's team went 12–9. Kaprizov had 27 points (12 goals) and Ferraro had 5 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →