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Who to start · 2025-26

Kirill Kaprizov vs Noah Dobson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Kaprizov projects to 2.50 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Dobson's 2.17.

Kaprizov had 89 points in 78 games; Dobson had 47 in 80 games.

This week Kaprizov has 1 game left; Dobson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Kaprizov for 1.9 ESPN points to Dobson's 1.6.

Kirill Kaprizov has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Kaprizov's biggest edges: High-danger chances 52.4%, Scoring chances 52.7%, Sequence xG 54.2%.

Dobson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Blocked shots 188, Forecheck xG /60 0.38.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Kirill Kaprizov

2.50

fantasy points per game

Noah Dobson

2.17

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kirill Kaprizov has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKaprizovDobson
Goals (+2)1.210.28
Assists (+1)0.530.41
Power-play points (+0.5)0.190.04
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.340.19
Hits (+0.1)0.070.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.161.16

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kaprizov vs Dobson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KaprizovDobson
7Team record in 8 meetings1
10Points in those games3

Kaprizov 5G 5A, 31 SOG · Dobson 1G 2A, 18 SOG

0Shots blocked by the other3

Kaprizov blocked 0 of Dobson's shots; Dobson blocked 3 of Kaprizov's.

On the ice against each other (Kaprizov's side)

18:10 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Kaprizov's side

Shot attempts
18–22
45.0%
Expected goals
0.6–0.5
53.7%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Kirill Kaprizov and Noah Dobson
DateScoreKaprizovDobson
2026-02-02MIN 4–3 MTL2G 0A 4S0G 1A 3S
2026-01-20MIN 3–4 MTL0G 2A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-01-15MIN 5–0 NYI0G 1A 5S0G 0A 1S
2023-11-07MIN 4–2 NYI1G 0A 4S1G 0A 2S
2023-02-28MIN 2–1 NYI0G 0A 6S0G 0A 4S
2023-01-12MIN 3–1 NYI1G 1A 5S0G 0A 0S
2022-01-30MIN 4–3 NYI1G 1A 2S0G 1A 7S
2021-11-07MIN 5–2 NYI0G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KaprizovDobson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Kirill Kaprizov

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to LWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.9 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

Noah Dobson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to Dvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Kirill Kaprizov or Noah Dobson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Kaprizov projects to 2.50 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Dobson's 2.17. Kaprizov had 89 points in 78 games; Dobson had 47 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Kirill Kaprizov or Noah Dobson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Kirill Kaprizov leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kaprizov and Dobson done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Kaprizov's team went 7–1. Kaprizov had 10 points (5 goals) and Dobson had 3 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →