Who to start · 2025-26
Kirill Kaprizov vs Ryan O'Reilly
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Kaprizov projects to 2.50 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90.
Kaprizov had 89 points in 78 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.
This week Kaprizov has 1 game left; O'Reilly has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project O'Reilly for 2.0 ESPN points to Kaprizov's 1.9.
Kirill Kaprizov has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Kaprizov's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 67.5%, Ascension score 54, Transition attempts /60 1.30.
O'Reilly's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 739, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.007, Luck Meter +52.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Kirill Kaprizov
2.50
fantasy points per game
Ryan O'Reilly
1.90
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Kirill Kaprizov has the edge.
| Points per game from | Kaprizov | O'Reilly |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.21 | 0.58 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.53 | 0.57 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.34 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.38 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Kaprizov vs O'Reilly
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Kaprizov 17G 13A, 103 SOG · O'Reilly 15G 15A, 71 SOG
Kaprizov's offensive zone 3–3 · neutral 0–0 · Kaprizov's defensive zone 0–0 (2020-21 to 2026-27)
Kaprizov blocked 0 of O'Reilly's shots; O'Reilly blocked 2 of Kaprizov's.
On the ice against each other (Kaprizov's side)
31:48 at 5-on-5 over 5 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Kaprizov's side
- Shot attempts
- 38–32
- 54.3%
- Expected goals
- 1.2–1.4
- 46.5%
- Goals
- 1–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Kaprizov | O'Reilly |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | MIN 3–1 NSH | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2026-04-11 | MIN 1–2 NSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2026-02-04 | MIN 6–5 NSH | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 3A 1S |
| 2025-12-23 | MIN 2–3 NSH | 0G 1A 8S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2025-11-04 | MIN 3–2 NSH | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-11-30 | MIN 3–2 NSH | 1G 1A 5S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-03-10 | MIN 4–3 NSH | 1G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-02-29 | MIN 1–6 NSH | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-01-25 | MIN 2–3 NSH | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2023-11-30 | MIN 6–1 NSH | 1G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-02-24 | MIN 1–2 TOR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-12-31 | MIN 5–2 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 28 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Kirill Kaprizov
2games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NSHOpp allows 12th-most FP to LWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.9 ptsOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)
Ryan O'Reilly
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MINOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 ptsOpp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Kirill Kaprizov or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Kaprizov projects to 2.50 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90. Kaprizov had 89 points in 78 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Kirill Kaprizov or Ryan O'Reilly?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Kirill Kaprizov leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Kaprizov and O'Reilly done against each other?
- In 28 games against each other in our data, Kaprizov's team went 11–17. Kaprizov had 30 points (17 goals) and O'Reilly had 30 (15 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Kaprizov or O'Reilly?
- Against each other, Kaprizov has won 3 and O'Reilly 3 of their 6 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →