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Who to start · 2025-26

Kirill Kaprizov vs Seth Jarvis

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Kaprizov projects to 2.50 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jarvis's 2.19.

Kaprizov had 89 points in 78 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.

This week Kaprizov has 1 game left; Jarvis has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Jarvis for 2.3 ESPN points to Kaprizov's 1.9.

They split the 33 stats both are ranked on 16–16.

Kaprizov's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1013, Power-play time per game 3:54, Ice time per game 22:09.

Jarvis's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.093, Faceoffs won 32, Top skating speed 23.4.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Kirill Kaprizov

2.51

fantasy points per game

Seth Jarvis

2.19

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kirill Kaprizov has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKaprizovJarvis
Goals (+2)1.150.90
Assists (+1)0.560.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.210.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.04
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.340.32
Hits (+0.1)0.070.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.170.19

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kaprizov vs Jarvis

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KaprizovJarvis
5Team record in 8 meetings3
10Points in those games5

Kaprizov 6G 4A, 33 SOG · Jarvis 0G 5A, 12 SOG

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Kaprizov's side)

12:48 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Kaprizov's side

Shot attempts
7–24
22.6%
Expected goals
0.2–0.9
19.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Kirill Kaprizov and Seth Jarvis
DateScoreKaprizovJarvis
2025-11-19MIN 4–3 CAR0G 1A 2S0G 1A 1S
2025-11-06MIN 3–4 CAR0G 1A 2S0G 1A 2S
2024-02-27MIN 2–3 CAR0G 0A 6S0G 1A 0S
2024-01-21MIN 5–2 CAR3G 0A 5S0G 1A 5S
2023-01-19MIN 2–5 CAR1G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S
2022-11-19MIN 2–1 CAR0G 1A 5S0G 0A 0S
2022-04-02MIN 3–1 CAR1G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-02-12MIN 3–2 CAR1G 0A 8S0G 0A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KaprizovJarvis

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Kirill Kaprizov

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to LWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.9 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

Seth Jarvis

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.3 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −12.8 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)

FAQ

Should I start Kirill Kaprizov or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Kaprizov projects to 2.50 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jarvis's 2.19. Kaprizov had 89 points in 78 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Kirill Kaprizov or Seth Jarvis?
On 2025-26 numbers they split 16–16 across 33 stats where both qualify.
How have Kaprizov and Jarvis done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Kaprizov's team went 5–3. Kaprizov had 10 points (6 goals) and Jarvis had 5 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →