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Who to start · 2025-26

Kirill Kaprizov vs Vince Dunn

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Kaprizov projects to 2.50 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vince Dunn's 1.83.

Kaprizov had 89 points in 78 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games.

This week Kaprizov has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Dunn has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Dunn for 3.6 ESPN points to Kaprizov's 1.9.

Kirill Kaprizov has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Kaprizov's biggest edges: Plus/minus +10, Expected goals 54.4%, Sequence xG 54.2%.

Dunn's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Luck Meter +17, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.085.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Kirill Kaprizov

2.50

fantasy points per game

Vince Dunn

1.83

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kirill Kaprizov has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKaprizovDunn
Goals (+2)1.210.38
Assists (+1)0.530.51
Power-play points (+0.5)0.190.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.340.22
Hits (+0.1)0.070.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.160.53

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kaprizov vs Dunn

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KaprizovDunn
9Team record in 14 meetings5
17Points in those games9

Kaprizov 6G 11A, 47 SOG · Dunn 1G 8A, 29 SOG

2Hits on each other3
1Shots blocked by the other1

Kaprizov blocked 1 of Dunn's shots; Dunn blocked 1 of Kaprizov's.

2Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Kaprizov's side)

28:13 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Kaprizov's side

Shot attempts
25–25
50.0%
Expected goals
1.4–0.8
63.1%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Kirill Kaprizov and Vince Dunn
DateScoreKaprizovDunn
2026-04-07MIN 5–2 SEA0G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2026-01-08MIN 3–2 SEA0G 2A 4S0G 2A 4S
2025-12-08MIN 4–1 SEA1G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2024-10-12MIN 4–5 SEA1G 2A 4S0G 1A 2S
2024-02-24MIN 5–2 SEA2G 1A 4S1G 0A 3S
2023-12-10MIN 3–0 SEA0G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2022-11-11MIN 1–0 SEA0G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2022-11-03MIN 0–4 SEA0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-04-22MIN 6–3 SEA1G 3A 2S0G 1A 4S
2021-11-13MIN 4–2 SEA0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2021-10-28MIN 1–4 SEA0G 1A 6S0G 0A 1S
2021-04-10MIN 2–3 STL0G 0A 5S0G 3A 0S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KaprizovDunn

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Kirill Kaprizov

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.9 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

Vince Dunn

3games (2 left)

3.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Kirill Kaprizov or Vince Dunn in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Kaprizov projects to 2.50 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vince Dunn's 1.83. Kaprizov had 89 points in 78 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Kirill Kaprizov or Vince Dunn?
On 2025-26 numbers, Kirill Kaprizov leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kaprizov and Dunn done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Kaprizov's team went 9–5. Kaprizov had 17 points (6 goals) and Dunn had 9 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →