Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Kirill Marchenko vs Macklin Celebrini

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kirill Marchenko's 1.92.

Marchenko had 67 points in 76 games; Celebrini had 115 in 82 games.

This week Marchenko has 1 game left; Celebrini has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Celebrini for 3.0 ESPN points to Marchenko's 1.8.

Macklin Celebrini has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Marchenko's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.4, Fenwick 52.3%, Corsi 52.4%.

Celebrini's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 625, Goals above expected +5.9, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.45.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 7 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 7 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Kirill Marchenko

1.92

fantasy points per game

Macklin Celebrini

3.00

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Macklin Celebrini has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMarchenkoCelebrini
Goals (+2)0.631.03
Assists (+1)0.520.99
Power-play points (+0.5)0.130.22
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.290.37
Hits (+0.1)0.110.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.230.33

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Marchenko vs Celebrini

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MarchenkoCelebrini
1Team record in 4 meetings3
3Points in those games4

Marchenko 1G 2A, 13 SOG · Celebrini 2G 2A, 17 SOG

On the ice against each other (Marchenko's side)

6:53 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Marchenko's side

Shot attempts
9–3
75.0%
Expected goals
0.3–0.4
45.2%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Kirill Marchenko and Macklin Celebrini
DateScoreMarchenkoCelebrini
2026-03-28CBJ 2–3 SJS0G 0A 4S1G 1A 6S
2026-01-06CBJ 2–5 SJS0G 1A 4S1G 0A 5S
2025-01-16CBJ 4–1 SJS0G 1A 3S0G 1A 3S
2024-11-05CBJ 1–2 SJS1G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MarchenkoCelebrini

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Kirill Marchenko

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.8 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Macklin Celebrini

2games (1 left)

3.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK3.0 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

FAQ

Should I start Kirill Marchenko or Macklin Celebrini in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kirill Marchenko's 1.92. Marchenko had 67 points in 76 games; Celebrini had 115 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Kirill Marchenko or Macklin Celebrini?
On 2025-26 numbers, Macklin Celebrini leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Marchenko and Celebrini done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Marchenko's team went 1–3. Marchenko had 3 points (1 goals) and Celebrini had 4 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →