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Who to start · 2025-26

Kirill Marchenko vs Mike Matheson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Marchenko projects to 1.92 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mike Matheson's 1.80.

Marchenko had 67 points in 76 games; Matheson had 37 in 78 games.

This week Marchenko has 1 game left; Matheson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Marchenko for 1.8 ESPN points to Matheson's 1.3.

Kirill Marchenko has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Marchenko's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 73.4%, Offensive-zone time 43.9%, Corsi 52.4%.

Matheson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.035, Forecheck xG /60 0.33.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 7 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Kirill Marchenko

1.92

fantasy points per game

Mike Matheson

1.80

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kirill Marchenko has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMarchenkoMatheson
Goals (+2)0.630.17
Assists (+1)0.520.42
Power-play points (+0.5)0.130.01
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.290.16
Hits (+0.1)0.110.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.230.96

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Marchenko vs Matheson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MarchenkoMatheson
3Team record in 9 meetings6
9Points in those games12

Marchenko 3G 6A, 21 SOG · Matheson 2G 10A, 19 SOG

2Hits on each other0
2Shots blocked by the other4

Marchenko blocked 2 of Matheson's shots; Matheson blocked 4 of Marchenko's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Marchenko's side)

27:57 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Marchenko's side

Shot attempts
28–19
59.6%
Expected goals
1.3–0.7
64.9%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Kirill Marchenko and Mike Matheson
DateScoreMarchenkoMatheson
2026-09-29TOR 2–3 MTL0G 1A 4S0G 1A 3S
2026-04-11CBJ 5–2 MTL1G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2026-03-26CBJ 1–2 MTL0G 0A 2S0G 1A 3S
2025-11-17CBJ 4–3 MTL0G 2A 0S0G 1A 3S
2024-12-23CBJ 5–4 MTL1G 2A 4S0G 0A 1S
2024-11-16CBJ 1–5 MTL0G 0A 2S1G 1A 3S
2023-11-29CBJ 2–4 MTL0G 0A 0S0G 2A 0S
2023-10-26CBJ 3–4 MTL0G 0A 1S1G 1A 2S
2023-03-25CBJ 2–8 MTL1G 0A 4S0G 3A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MarchenkoMatheson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Kirill Marchenko

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.8 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Mike Matheson

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.3 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to Dvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Kirill Marchenko or Mike Matheson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Marchenko projects to 1.92 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mike Matheson's 1.80. Marchenko had 67 points in 76 games; Matheson had 37 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Kirill Marchenko or Mike Matheson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Kirill Marchenko leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Marchenko and Matheson done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Marchenko's team went 3–6. Marchenko had 9 points (3 goals) and Matheson had 12 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →