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Who to start · 2025-26

Kirill Marchenko vs Morgan Frost

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Marchenko projects to 1.92 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30.

Marchenko had 67 points in 76 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games.

This week Marchenko has 1 game left; Frost has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. We project Frost for 2.6 ESPN points to Marchenko's 1.8.

Kirill Marchenko has the better number in 29 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Marchenko's biggest edges: Plus/minus +7, Ascension score 58, Hardest shot 88.7.

Frost's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 601, Goals above expected +3.0, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.028.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 7 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Kirill Marchenko

1.92

fantasy points per game

Morgan Frost

1.30

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kirill Marchenko has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMarchenkoFrost
Goals (+2)0.630.50
Assists (+1)0.520.24
Power-play points (+0.5)0.130.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.290.17
Hits (+0.1)0.110.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.230.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Marchenko vs Frost

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MarchenkoFrost
3Team record in 9 meetings6
8Points in those games10

Marchenko 3G 5A, 29 SOG · Frost 6G 4A, 22 SOG

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Marchenko's side)

7:22 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Marchenko's side

Shot attempts
8–5
61.5%
Expected goals
0.3–0.1
77.3%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Kirill Marchenko and Morgan Frost
DateScoreMarchenkoFrost
2026-01-13CBJ 5–3 CGY0G 1A 1S1G 1A 4S
2025-11-05CBJ 1–5 CGY1G 0A 5S1G 0A 2S
2025-01-14CBJ 3–2 PHI0G 1A 4S0G 1A 2S
2024-12-21CBJ 4–5 PHI1G 0A 6S2G 0A 2S
2024-12-10CBJ 3–5 PHI0G 1A 2S1G 1A 4S
2024-04-06CBJ 6–2 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2023-10-12CBJ 2–4 PHI0G 2A 4S0G 0A 1S
2023-04-11CBJ 3–4 PHI0G 0A 3S0G 1A 3S
2022-12-20CBJ 3–5 PHI1G 0A 3S1G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MarchenkoFrost

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Kirill Marchenko

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.8 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Morgan Frost

3games (2 left)

2.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs SEA
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ VAN1.6 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +3.5 win%Likely vs Leevi Meriläinen (.860)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ SEAB2B1.0 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Kirill Marchenko or Morgan Frost in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Marchenko projects to 1.92 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30. Marchenko had 67 points in 76 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Kirill Marchenko or Morgan Frost?
On 2025-26 numbers, Kirill Marchenko leads in 29 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Marchenko and Frost done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Marchenko's team went 3–6. Marchenko had 8 points (3 goals) and Frost had 10 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →