Who to start · 2025-26
Kirill Marchenko vs Tomas Hertl
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Marchenko projects to 1.92 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88.
Marchenko had 67 points in 76 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.
This week Marchenko has 1 game left; Hertl has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hertl for 2.0 ESPN points to Marchenko's 1.8.
They split the 34 stats both are ranked on 17–17.
Marchenko's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1024, Plus/minus +7, Luck Meter +22.
Hertl's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 720, High-danger chances 59.2%, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.010.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 7 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Kirill Marchenko
1.92
fantasy points per game
Tomas Hertl
1.88
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Kirill Marchenko has the edge.
| Points per game from | Marchenko | Hertl |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.63 | 0.63 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.52 | 0.37 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Marchenko vs Hertl
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Marchenko 1G 0A, 15 SOG · Hertl 1G 7A, 11 SOG
On the ice against each other (Marchenko's side)
9:18 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Marchenko's side
- Shot attempts
- 6–8
- 42.9%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.1
- 64.7%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Marchenko | Hertl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | CBJ 3–5 VGK | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 2A 5S |
| 2025-12-13 | CBJ 2–3 VGK | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-03-13 | CBJ 0–4 VGK | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2025-01-30 | CBJ 2–1 VGK | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-03-14 | CBJ 6–5 SJS | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2023-01-21 | CBJ 5–3 SJS | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Kirill Marchenko
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 12th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.8 ptsvs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Tomas Hertl
3games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANAOpp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Kirill Marchenko or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Marchenko projects to 1.92 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88. Marchenko had 67 points in 76 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Kirill Marchenko or Tomas Hertl?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 17–17 across 34 stats where both qualify.
- How have Marchenko and Hertl done against each other?
- In 6 games against each other in our data, Marchenko's team went 3–3. Marchenko had 1 points (1 goals) and Hertl had 8 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →