Who to start · 2025-26
Kyle Connor vs Mario Ferraro
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71.
Connor had 92 points in 82 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games.
This week Connor has 1 game left; Ferraro has 1 left. We project Connor for 2.4 ESPN points to Ferraro's 1.6.
Kyle Connor has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Connor's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 71.2%, Offensive-zone time 43.4%, Power-play share 66.1%.
Ferraro's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Blocked shots 150, Hits 137.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Kyle Connor
2.43
fantasy points per game
Mario Ferraro
1.71
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Kyle Connor has the edge.
| Points per game from | Connor | Ferraro |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.02 | 0.29 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.67 | 0.18 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.14 | 0.00 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.37 | 0.13 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.16 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.95 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Connor vs Ferraro
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Connor 7G 6A, 71 SOG · Ferraro 0G 2A, 12 SOG
Connor blocked 1 of Ferraro's shots; Ferraro blocked 4 of Connor's.
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice against each other (Connor's side)
14:37 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Connor's side
- Shot attempts
- 6–17
- 26.1%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–1.5
- 30.1%
- Goals
- 0–2
On the ice together
1:43 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2026-27
- Shot attempts
- 4–5
- 44.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.1
- 52.6%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Connor | Ferraro |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | WPG 1–6 SJS | 0G 0A 7S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2026-03-01 | WPG 1–2 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-07 | WPG 1–2 SJS | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-02-24 | WPG 2–1 SJS | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-12-17 | WPG 4–3 SJS | 2G 0A 9S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-10-18 | WPG 8–3 SJS | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-02-14 | WPG 1–0 SJS | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-04-10 | WPG 6–2 SJS | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-03-28 | WPG 0–3 SJS | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-03-06 | WPG 2–3 SJS | 0G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2021-11-11 | WPG 4–1 SJS | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-10-30 | WPG 1–2 SJS | 1G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 16 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Kyle Connor
2games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET2.4 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to LWLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Mario Ferraro
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.6 ptsOpp allows 15th-most FP to DLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Kyle Connor or Mario Ferraro in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71. Connor had 92 points in 82 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Kyle Connor or Mario Ferraro?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Kyle Connor leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Connor and Ferraro done against each other?
- In 16 games against each other in our data, Connor's team went 8–8. Connor had 13 points (7 goals) and Ferraro had 2 (0 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →