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Who to start · 2025-26

Kyle Connor vs Matthew Knies

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matthew Knies's 2.06.

Connor had 92 points in 82 games; Knies had 66 in 79 games.

This week Connor has 1 game left; Knies has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Connor for 2.4 ESPN points to Knies's 1.4.

Kyle Connor has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Connor's biggest edges: Scoring chances 52.1%, Plus/minus −2, Corsi 49.2%.

Knies's biggest edges: Hits 152, Blocked shots 32, Penalty minutes 29.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Kyle Connor

2.43

fantasy points per game

Matthew Knies

2.06

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kyle Connor has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromConnorKnies
Goals (+2)1.020.80
Assists (+1)0.670.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.140.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.370.19
Hits (+0.1)0.050.18
Blocks (+0.5)0.170.19

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Connor vs Knies

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ConnorKnies
1Team record in 6 meetings5
10Points in those games2

Connor 5G 5A, 27 SOG · Knies 1G 1A, 10 SOG

On the ice against each other (Connor's side)

9:03 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Connor's side

Shot attempts
15–5
75.0%
Expected goals
0.9–0.1
90.1%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between Kyle Connor and Matthew Knies
DateScoreConnorKnies
2026-01-17WPG 3–4 TOR1G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2026-01-01WPG 5–6 TOR0G 1A 3S0G 1A 4S
2024-12-23WPG 5–2 TOR2G 2A 4S0G 0A 1S
2024-10-28WPG 4–6 TOR2G 2A 7S1G 0A 3S
2024-01-27WPG 2–4 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-01-24WPG 0–1 TOR0G 0A 6S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ConnorKnies

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Kyle Connor

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET2.4 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to LWLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

Matthew Knies

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to LWLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.4 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Kyle Connor or Matthew Knies in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matthew Knies's 2.06. Connor had 92 points in 82 games; Knies had 66 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Kyle Connor or Matthew Knies?
On 2025-26 numbers, Kyle Connor leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Connor and Knies done against each other?
In 6 games against each other in our data, Connor's team went 1–5. Connor had 10 points (5 goals) and Knies had 2 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →