Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Kyle Connor vs Nikolaj Ehlers

Kyle ConnorKyle ConnorJets · Left wingvsNikolaj EhlersNikolaj EhlersHurricanes · Left wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65.

Connor had 92 points in 82 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games.

This week Connor has 1 game left; Ehlers has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Connor for 2.4 ESPN points to Ehlers's 1.8.

Nikolaj Ehlers has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Connor's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1017, Ice-time share 35.4%, Ice time per game 21:30.

Ehlers's biggest edges: Fenwick 61.3%, Top skating speed 23.1, Corsi 60.6%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Kyle Connor

2.43

fantasy points per game

Nikolaj Ehlers

1.65

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kyle Connor has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromConnorEhlers
Goals (+2)1.020.56
Assists (+1)0.670.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.140.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.370.26
Hits (+0.1)0.050.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.170.16

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Connor vs Ehlers

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ConnorEhlers
0Team record in 2 meetings2
1Points in those games1

Connor 0G 1A, 2 SOG · Ehlers 0G 1A, 1 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other0

Connor blocked 1 of Ehlers's shots; Ehlers blocked 0 of Connor's.

24Goals set up by the other23

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice against each other (Connor's side)

4:52 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Connor's side

Shot attempts
2–8
20.0%
Expected goals
0.1–0.3
19.4%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Kyle Connor and Nikolaj Ehlers
DateScoreConnorEhlers
2025-11-28WPG 1–5 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-11-21WPG 3–4 CAR0G 1A 1S0G 1A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ConnorEhlers

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Kyle Connor

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET2.4 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to LWLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

Nikolaj Ehlers

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Kyle Connor or Nikolaj Ehlers in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65. Connor had 92 points in 82 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Kyle Connor or Nikolaj Ehlers?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nikolaj Ehlers leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Connor and Ehlers done against each other?
In 2 games against each other in our data, Connor's team went 0–2. Connor had 1 points (0 goals) and Ehlers had 1 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →