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Who to start · 2025-26

Kyle Connor vs Seth Jarvis

Kyle ConnorKyle ConnorJets · Left wingvsSeth JarvisSeth JarvisHurricanes · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jarvis's 2.19.

Connor had 92 points in 82 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.

This week Connor has 1 game left; Jarvis has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Jarvis for 2.3 ESPN points to Connor's 2.0.

Seth Jarvis has the better number in 22 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Connor's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1017, Luck Meter +51, Hardest shot 90.9.

Jarvis's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.39, Top skating speed 23.4, Fenwick 59.7%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Kyle Connor

2.22

fantasy points per game

Seth Jarvis

2.19

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kyle Connor has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromConnorJarvis
Goals (+2)0.950.90
Assists (+1)0.650.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.04
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.330.32
Hits (+0.1)0.040.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.120.19

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Connor vs Jarvis

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ConnorJarvis
4Team record in 10 meetings6
5Points in those games9

Connor 3G 2A, 24 SOG · Jarvis 6G 3A, 33 SOG

1Hits on each other0

On the ice against each other (Connor's side)

16:35 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Connor's side

Shot attempts
15–17
46.9%
Expected goals
0.8–1.0
45.6%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Kyle Connor and Seth Jarvis
DateScoreConnorJarvis
2025-11-28WPG 1–5 CAR0G 0A 1S3G 0A 8S
2025-11-21WPG 3–4 CAR0G 1A 1S1G 0A 3S
2025-03-09WPG 2–4 CAR0G 0A 4S1G 0A 6S
2025-02-04WPG 3–0 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-03-02WPG 5–3 CAR1G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2023-12-04WPG 2–1 CAR1G 1A 4S0G 0A 2S
2023-03-14WPG 3–5 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2022-11-21WPG 4–3 CAR0G 0A 4S0G 1A 1S
2022-04-21WPG 2–4 CAR1G 0A 3S1G 0A 4S
2021-12-07WPG 2–4 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ConnorJarvis

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Kyle Connor

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET2.0 pts
    Likely vs John Gibson (.901)

Seth Jarvis

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Likely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.3 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −12.8 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Kyle Connor or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jarvis's 2.19. Connor had 92 points in 82 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Kyle Connor or Seth Jarvis?
On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 22 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Connor and Jarvis done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Connor's team went 4–6. Connor had 5 points (3 goals) and Jarvis had 9 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →