Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Kyle Connor vs Tomas Hertl

Kyle ConnorKyle ConnorJets · Left wingvsTomas HertlTomas HertlGolden Knights · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88.

Connor had 92 points in 82 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.

This week Connor has 1 game left; Hertl has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Connor for 2.0 ESPN points to Hertl's 2.0.

They split the 34 stats both are ranked on 17–17.

Connor's biggest edges: Luck Meter +51, On-ice PDO 1017, Goals above expected +0.1.

Hertl's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 720, High-danger chances 59.2%, Blocked shots 45.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Kyle Connor

2.43

fantasy points per game

Tomas Hertl

1.88

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kyle Connor has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromConnorHertl
Goals (+2)1.020.63
Assists (+1)0.670.37
Power-play points (+0.5)0.140.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.370.27
Hits (+0.1)0.050.14
Blocks (+0.5)0.170.30

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head

Kyle Connor and Tomas Hertl have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ConnorHertl

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Kyle Connor

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to LW
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET2.0 pts

Tomas Hertl

3games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to C
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Kyle Connor or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88. Connor had 92 points in 82 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Kyle Connor or Tomas Hertl?
On 2025-26 numbers they split 17–17 across 34 stats where both qualify.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →