Who to start · 2025-26
Kyle Connor vs Tyler Toffoli
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.
Connor had 92 points in 82 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.
This week Connor has 1 game left; Toffoli has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Connor for 2.0 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.5.
Kyle Connor has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Connor's biggest edges: Ascension score 57, 20+ mph bursts 162, Ice time per game 21:30.
Toffoli's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.64, Blocked shots 31, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.004.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Kyle Connor
2.43
fantasy points per game
Tyler Toffoli
1.35
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Kyle Connor has the edge.
| Points per game from | Connor | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.02 | 0.45 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.67 | 0.36 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.37 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Connor vs Toffoli
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Connor 18G 10A, 104 SOG · Toffoli 12G 11A, 82 SOG
Connor blocked 1 of Toffoli's shots; Toffoli blocked 0 of Connor's.
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice against each other (Connor's side)
3:09 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Connor's side
- Shot attempts
- 0–3
- 0.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.2
- 0.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Connor | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | WPG 1–2 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-11-07 | WPG 1–2 SJS | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-02-24 | WPG 2–1 SJS | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-12-17 | WPG 4–3 SJS | 2G 0A 9S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2024-10-18 | WPG 8–3 SJS | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2023-11-14 | WPG 6–3 NJD | 2G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-04-05 | WPG 1–3 CGY | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-01-03 | WPG 3–2 CGY | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2022-11-12 | WPG 2–3 CGY | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2022-04-29 | WPG 3–1 CGY | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-02-21 | WPG 1–3 CGY | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2021-06-07 · PO | WPG 2–3 MTL | 0G 2A 3S | 1G 1A 3S |
Latest 12 of 32 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Kyle Connor
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET2.0 ptsLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Tyler Toffoli
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 ptsOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Kyle Connor or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Connor had 92 points in 82 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Kyle Connor or Tyler Toffoli?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Kyle Connor leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Connor and Toffoli done against each other?
- In 32 games against each other in our data, Connor's team went 16–16. Connor had 28 points (18 goals) and Toffoli had 23 (12 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →