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Who to start · 2025-26

Leo Carlsson vs MacKenzie Weegar

Leo CarlssonLeo CarlssonDucks · CentrevsMacKenzie WeegarMacKenzie WeegarMammoth · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to MacKenzie Weegar's 1.93.

Carlsson had 67 points in 70 games; Weegar had 28 in 79 games.

This week Carlsson has 1 game left; Weegar has 2 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Weegar for 3.0 ESPN points to Carlsson's 1.6.

Leo Carlsson has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Carlsson's biggest edges: Plus/minus +4, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.29, Goals above expected +1.1.

Weegar's biggest edges: Hits 167, Forecheck xG /60 0.35, Transition attempts /60 0.82.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Leo Carlsson

2.12

fantasy points per game

MacKenzie Weegar

1.93

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Leo Carlsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCarlssonWeegar
Goals (+2)0.900.09
Assists (+1)0.570.28
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.04
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.260.20
Hits (+0.1)0.020.24
Blocks (+0.5)0.231.07

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Carlsson vs Weegar

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CarlssonWeegar
4Team record in 9 meetings5
4Points in those games8

Carlsson 0G 4A, 14 SOG · Weegar 1G 7A, 16 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other3

Carlsson blocked 1 of Weegar's shots; Weegar blocked 3 of Carlsson's.

On the ice against each other (Carlsson's side)

12:14 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Carlsson's side

Shot attempts
9–13
40.9%
Expected goals
0.5–0.3
61.7%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Leo Carlsson and MacKenzie Weegar
DateScoreCarlssonWeegar
2026-03-20ANA 4–1 UTA0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2026-03-01ANA 3–2 CGY0G 1A 4S0G 0A 0S
2025-04-09ANA 4–3 CGY0G 2A 0S0G 1A 3S
2025-04-03ANA 1–4 CGY0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2025-01-30ANA 1–4 CGY0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-01-07ANA 2–3 CGY0G 0A 3S1G 1A 5S
2024-04-12ANA 3–6 CGY0G 0A 1S0G 2A 0S
2024-04-02ANA 5–3 CGY0G 1A 0S0G 2A 2S
2023-12-21ANA 0–3 CGY0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CarlssonWeegar

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Leo Carlsson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ VGK
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to C
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA1.6 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to C

MacKenzie Weegar

3games (2 left)

3.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to D
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.5 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −1.0 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Leo Carlsson or MacKenzie Weegar in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to MacKenzie Weegar's 1.93. Carlsson had 67 points in 70 games; Weegar had 28 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Leo Carlsson or MacKenzie Weegar?
On 2025-26 numbers, Leo Carlsson leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Carlsson and Weegar done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Carlsson's team went 4–5. Carlsson had 4 points (0 goals) and Weegar had 8 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →