Who to start · 2025-26
Leo Carlsson vs Parker Kelly
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Parker Kelly's 1.51.
Carlsson had 67 points in 70 games; Kelly had 35 in 82 games.
This week Carlsson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Kelly has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Carlsson for 1.6 ESPN points to Kelly's 0.9.
Leo Carlsson has the better number in 23 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Carlsson's biggest edges: Power-play time per game 3:23, Power-play share 65.9%, Ice time per game 19:09.
Kelly's biggest edges: Hits 177, Forecheck xG /60 0.46, Blocked shots 58.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Leo Carlsson
2.12
fantasy points per game
Parker Kelly
1.51
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Leo Carlsson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Carlsson | Kelly |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.90 | 0.61 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.57 | 0.22 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.12 | 0.00 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.26 | 0.13 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.02 | 0.22 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Carlsson vs Kelly
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Carlsson 3G 1A, 13 SOG · Kelly 4G 0A, 16 SOG
Carlsson's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 1–0 · Carlsson's defensive zone 0–0 (2024-25)
On the ice against each other (Carlsson's side)
5:39 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Carlsson's side
- Shot attempts
- 7–5
- 58.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.6
- 19.4%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Carlsson | Kelly |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-03 | ANA 1–5 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 2G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-11 | ANA 1–4 COL | 1G 0A 6S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2025-04-13 | ANA 2–4 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-12-20 | ANA 2–4 COL | 1G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-10-18 | ANA 3–4 COL | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-02-15 | ANA 5–1 OTT | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Leo Carlsson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ VGKOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA1.6 ptsOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
Parker Kelly
2games (1 left)
0.9proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL0.9 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Leo Carlsson or Parker Kelly in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Parker Kelly's 1.51. Carlsson had 67 points in 70 games; Kelly had 35 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Leo Carlsson or Parker Kelly?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Leo Carlsson leads in 23 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Carlsson and Kelly done against each other?
- In 6 games against each other in our data, Carlsson's team went 1–5. Carlsson had 4 points (3 goals) and Kelly had 4 (4 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Carlsson or Kelly?
- Against each other, Carlsson has won 1 and Kelly 1 of their 2 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →