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Who to start · 2025-26

Leon Draisaitl vs Ryan O'Reilly

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leon Draisaitl projects to 2.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90.

Draisaitl had 97 points in 65 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.

This week Draisaitl has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; O'Reilly has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Draisaitl for 2.0 ESPN points to O'Reilly's 2.0.

Leon Draisaitl has the better number in 25 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Draisaitl's biggest edges: Ascension score 69, Top skating speed 23.3, Offensive-zone start % 61.0%.

O'Reilly's biggest edges: Blocked shots 66, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.007, On-ice PDO 1023.

Head to head on the dot, O'Reilly leads Draisaitl 86–69.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 2 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 10 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Leon Draisaitl

2.96

fantasy points per game

Ryan O'Reilly

1.90

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Leon Draisaitl has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDraisaitlO'Reilly
Goals (+2)1.190.58
Assists (+1)0.960.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.340.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.310.20
Hits (+0.1)0.050.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.100.38

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Draisaitl vs O'Reilly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DraisaitlO'Reilly
13Team record in 24 meetings11
34Points in those games15

Draisaitl 12G 22A, 79 SOG · O'Reilly 7G 8A, 56 SOG

69Faceoffs against each other86

Draisaitl's offensive zone 40–40 · neutral 10–17 · Draisaitl's defensive zone 19–29 (2017-18 to 2025-26)

1Hits on each other0
1Shots blocked by the other1

Draisaitl blocked 1 of O'Reilly's shots; O'Reilly blocked 1 of Draisaitl's.

On the ice against each other (Draisaitl's side)

6:23 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Draisaitl's side

Shot attempts
7–4
63.6%
Expected goals
0.3–0.3
56.7%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Leon Draisaitl and Ryan O'Reilly
DateScoreDraisaitlO'Reilly
2026-03-15EDM 3–1 NSH1G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2026-01-13EDM 3–4 NSH1G 2A 4S0G 1A 2S
2026-01-06EDM 6–2 NSH1G 2A 3S1G 0A 3S
2024-11-14EDM 3–2 NSH0G 2A 4S0G 0A 0S
2024-10-31EDM 5–1 NSH2G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2024-10-17EDM 4–2 NSH0G 1A 1S0G 1A 1S
2024-01-27EDM 4–1 NSH1G 2A 1S0G 0A 0S
2023-11-04EDM 2–5 NSH0G 0A 1S3G 1A 3S
2023-10-17EDM 6–1 NSH2G 2A 5S0G 1A 4S
2023-03-01EDM 5–2 TOR0G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S
2022-12-15EDM 3–4 STL0G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2022-10-26EDM 3–1 STL0G 1A 3S1G 0A 5S

Latest 12 of 24 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DraisaitlO'Reilly

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Leon Draisaitl

3games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.0 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Ryan O'Reilly

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)

FAQ

Should I start Leon Draisaitl or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leon Draisaitl projects to 2.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90. Draisaitl had 97 points in 65 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Leon Draisaitl or Ryan O'Reilly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Leon Draisaitl leads in 25 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Draisaitl and O'Reilly done against each other?
In 24 games against each other in our data, Draisaitl's team went 13–11. Draisaitl had 34 points (12 goals) and O'Reilly had 15 (7 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Draisaitl or O'Reilly?
Against each other, Draisaitl has won 69 and O'Reilly 86 of their 155 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →