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Who to start · 2025-26

MacKenzie Weegar vs Mario Ferraro

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, MacKenzie Weegar projects to 1.93 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71.

Weegar had 28 points in 79 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games.

This week Weegar has 2 games left with 2 tough matchups; Ferraro has 1 left. We project Weegar for 3.0 ESPN points to Ferraro's 1.6.

MacKenzie Weegar has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Weegar's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 43.0%, Transition attempts /60 0.82, Power-play share 49.3%.

Ferraro's biggest edges: Luck Meter +50, Goals above expected +2.7, On-ice PDO 1007.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

MacKenzie Weegar

1.93

fantasy points per game

Mario Ferraro

1.71

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, MacKenzie Weegar has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromWeegarFerraro
Goals (+2)0.090.29
Assists (+1)0.280.18
Power-play points (+0.5)0.040.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.13
Hits (+0.1)0.240.16
Blocks (+0.5)1.070.95

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Weegar vs Ferraro

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

WeegarFerraro
14Team record in 16 meetings2
11Points in those games1

Weegar 2G 9A, 40 SOG · Ferraro 0G 1A, 19 SOG

2Hits on each other0
1Shots blocked by the other3

Weegar blocked 1 of Ferraro's shots; Ferraro blocked 3 of Weegar's.

On the ice against each other (Weegar's side)

27:53 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Weegar's side

Shot attempts
36–17
67.9%
Expected goals
1.2–0.7
62.5%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between MacKenzie Weegar and Mario Ferraro
DateScoreWeegarFerraro
2026-02-26CGY 4–1 SJS0G 1A 1S0G 1A 0S
2026-01-31CGY 3–2 SJS0G 1A 4S0G 0A 2S
2025-12-16CGY 3–6 SJS0G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-13CGY 2–0 SJS0G 0A 5S0G 0A 0S
2025-04-07CGY 3–2 SJS0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-02-23CGY 3–2 SJS0G 1A 6S0G 0A 0S
2024-12-28CGY 3–1 SJS0G 1A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-04-18CGY 5–1 SJS1G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-04-09CGY 3–2 SJS0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2024-02-15CGY 3–6 SJS0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2023-04-12CGY 3–1 SJS0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2023-03-25CGY 5–3 SJS1G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

WeegarFerraro

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

MacKenzie Weegar

3games (2 left)

3.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.5 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Mario Ferraro

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.6 pts
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to DLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

FAQ

Should I start MacKenzie Weegar or Mario Ferraro in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, MacKenzie Weegar projects to 1.93 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71. Weegar had 28 points in 79 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, MacKenzie Weegar or Mario Ferraro?
On 2025-26 numbers, MacKenzie Weegar leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Weegar and Ferraro done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Weegar's team went 14–2. Weegar had 11 points (2 goals) and Ferraro had 1 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →