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Who to start · 2025-26

MacKenzie Weegar vs Noah Cates

MacKenzie WeegarMacKenzie WeegarMammoth · DefencevsNoah CatesNoah CatesFlyers · Left wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, MacKenzie Weegar projects to 1.93 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33.

Weegar had 28 points in 79 games; Cates had 47 in 82 games.

This week Weegar has 2 games left with 2 tough matchups; Cates has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Weegar for 3.0 ESPN points to Cates's 1.5.

Noah Cates has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Weegar's biggest edges: Ascension score 50, Transition attempts /60 0.82, Corsi 51.9%.

Cates's biggest edges: Plus/minus +26, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.031, On-ice PDO 1026.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

MacKenzie Weegar

1.93

fantasy points per game

Noah Cates

1.33

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, MacKenzie Weegar has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromWeegarCates
Goals (+2)0.090.39
Assists (+1)0.280.31
Power-play points (+0.5)0.040.05
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.16
Hits (+0.1)0.240.11
Blocks (+0.5)1.070.30

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Weegar vs Cates

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

WeegarCates
5Team record in 6 meetings1
8Points in those games4

Weegar 2G 6A, 17 SOG · Cates 1G 3A, 11 SOG

0Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other0

Weegar blocked 1 of Cates's shots; Cates blocked 0 of Weegar's.

On the ice against each other (Weegar's side)

9:25 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Weegar's side

Shot attempts
8–6
57.1%
Expected goals
0.1–0.3
14.0%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between MacKenzie Weegar and Noah Cates
DateScoreWeegarCates
2025-12-31CGY 5–1 PHI0G 2A 4S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-02CGY 2–1 PHI0G 1A 2S0G 1A 1S
2025-03-04CGY 6–3 PHI1G 1A 4S1G 0A 3S
2024-10-12CGY 6–3 PHI1G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-02-20CGY 3–4 PHI0G 0A 4S0G 1A 2S
2022-11-21CGY 5–2 PHI0G 1A 2S0G 1A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

WeegarCates

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

MacKenzie Weegar

3games (2 left)

3.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.5 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Noah Cates

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to LWLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start MacKenzie Weegar or Noah Cates in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, MacKenzie Weegar projects to 1.93 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33. Weegar had 28 points in 79 games; Cates had 47 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, MacKenzie Weegar or Noah Cates?
On 2025-26 numbers, Noah Cates leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Weegar and Cates done against each other?
In 6 games against each other in our data, Weegar's team went 5–1. Weegar had 8 points (2 goals) and Cates had 4 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →