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Who to start · 2025-26

MacKenzie Weegar vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

MacKenzie WeegarMacKenzie WeegarMammoth · DefencevsRyan Nugent-HopkinsRyan Nugent-HopkinsOilers · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, MacKenzie Weegar projects to 1.93 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70.

Weegar had 28 points in 79 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.

This week Weegar has 2 games left with 2 tough matchups; Nugent-Hopkins has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Weegar for 3.0 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has the better number in 22 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Weegar's biggest edges: Hits 167, Penalty minutes 88, Blocked shots 175.

Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.6, High-danger chances 54.8%, Luck Meter −6.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

MacKenzie Weegar

1.96

fantasy points per game

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

1.70

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, MacKenzie Weegar has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromWeegarNugent-Hopkins
Goals (+2)0.100.56
Assists (+1)0.300.50
Power-play points (+0.5)0.040.20
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.18
Hits (+0.1)0.210.03
Blocks (+0.5)1.110.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Weegar vs Nugent-Hopkins

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

WeegarNugent-Hopkins
9Team record in 22 meetings13
9Points in those games19

Weegar 2G 7A, 42 SOG · Nugent-Hopkins 5G 14A, 51 SOG

1Hits on each other0
2Shots blocked by the other2

Weegar blocked 2 of Nugent-Hopkins's shots; Nugent-Hopkins blocked 2 of Weegar's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Weegar's side)

18:58 at 5-on-5 over 6 games, 2025-26, from Weegar's side

Shot attempts
31–15
67.4%
Expected goals
1.1–0.5
69.2%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between MacKenzie Weegar and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
DateScoreWeegarNugent-Hopkins
2026-04-07UTA 6–5 EDM0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2026-03-24UTA 2–5 EDM0G 1A 1S0G 1A 2S
2026-02-04CGY 4–3 EDM0G 2A 2S0G 1A 2S
2025-12-27CGY 3–2 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 1A 3S
2025-12-23CGY 1–5 EDM1G 0A 2S1G 0A 4S
2025-10-08CGY 4–3 EDM0G 0A 1S1G 2A 3S
2025-03-29CGY 2–3 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2024-11-03CGY 2–4 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2024-10-13CGY 4–1 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-04-06CGY 2–4 EDM0G 0A 3S1G 2A 2S
2024-02-24CGY 6–3 EDM0G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2024-01-20CGY 1–3 EDM1G 0A 6S0G 1A 3S

Latest 12 of 22 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

WeegarNugent-Hopkins

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

MacKenzie Weegar

3games (2 left)

3.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.5 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start MacKenzie Weegar or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, MacKenzie Weegar projects to 1.93 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70. Weegar had 28 points in 79 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, MacKenzie Weegar or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins leads in 22 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Weegar and Nugent-Hopkins done against each other?
In 22 games against each other in our data, Weegar's team went 9–13. Weegar had 9 points (2 goals) and Nugent-Hopkins had 19 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →