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Who to start · 2025-26

Macklin Celebrini vs Matt Roy

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.54.

Celebrini had 115 points in 82 games; Roy had 19 in 79 games.

This week Celebrini has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Roy has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Celebrini for 3.0 ESPN points to Roy's 1.8.

Macklin Celebrini has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Celebrini's biggest edges: Goals above expected +5.9, Offensive-zone start % 68.6%, Luck Meter +76.

Roy's biggest edges: Hits 117, Forecheck xG /60 0.34, High-danger chances 51.5%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 7 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Macklin Celebrini

3.00

fantasy points per game

Matt Roy

1.54

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Macklin Celebrini has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCelebriniRoy
Goals (+2)1.030.05
Assists (+1)0.990.20
Power-play points (+0.5)0.220.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.370.11
Hits (+0.1)0.060.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.331.02

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Celebrini vs Roy

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CelebriniRoy
2Team record in 4 meetings2
3Points in those games3

Celebrini 1G 2A, 16 SOG · Roy 0G 3A, 8 SOG

0Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other2

Celebrini blocked 0 of Roy's shots; Roy blocked 2 of Celebrini's.

On the ice against each other (Celebrini's side)

9:07 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Celebrini's side

Shot attempts
6–9
40.0%
Expected goals
0.3–0.9
23.1%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Macklin Celebrini and Matt Roy
DateScoreCelebriniRoy
2026-01-15SJS 3–2 WSH0G 1A 6S0G 0A 1S
2025-12-03SJS 1–7 WSH0G 0A 2S0G 3A 2S
2025-03-15SJS 1–5 WSH1G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2024-12-03SJS 2–1 WSH0G 1A 4S0G 0A 4S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CelebriniRoy

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Macklin Celebrini

2games (1 left)

3.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK3.0 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.4 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

Matt Roy

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to DLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Macklin Celebrini or Matt Roy in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.54. Celebrini had 115 points in 82 games; Roy had 19 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Macklin Celebrini or Matt Roy?
On 2025-26 numbers, Macklin Celebrini leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Celebrini and Roy done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Celebrini's team went 2–2. Celebrini had 3 points (1 goals) and Roy had 3 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →