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Who to start · 2025-26

Macklin Celebrini vs Mattias Ekholm

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43.

Celebrini had 115 points in 82 games; Ekholm had 41 in 82 games.

This week Celebrini has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Ekholm has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Celebrini for 3.0 ESPN points to Ekholm's 1.1.

Macklin Celebrini has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Celebrini's biggest edges: Goals above expected +5.9, Ascension score 62, Luck Meter +76.

Ekholm's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.038, High-danger chances 58.3%, Fenwick 56.1%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 7 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Macklin Celebrini

3.00

fantasy points per game

Mattias Ekholm

1.43

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Macklin Celebrini has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCelebriniEkholm
Goals (+2)1.030.13
Assists (+1)0.990.38
Power-play points (+0.5)0.220.02
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.370.15
Hits (+0.1)0.060.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.330.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Celebrini vs Ekholm

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CelebriniEkholm
1Team record in 6 meetings5
4Points in those games5

Celebrini 2G 2A, 19 SOG · Ekholm 1G 4A, 9 SOG

0Shots blocked by the other1

Celebrini blocked 0 of Ekholm's shots; Ekholm blocked 1 of Celebrini's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Celebrini's side)

28:40 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Celebrini's side

Shot attempts
28–21
57.1%
Expected goals
1.1–1.3
46.5%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Macklin Celebrini and Mattias Ekholm
DateScoreCelebriniEkholm
2026-04-08SJS 2–5 EDM1G 0A 4S0G 1A 0S
2026-03-17SJS 3–5 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2026-02-28SJS 5–4 EDM1G 0A 7S0G 1A 0S
2026-01-29SJS 3–4 EDM0G 1A 1S0G 1A 0S
2025-04-11SJS 2–4 EDM0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2024-12-21SJS 2–3 EDM0G 1A 2S1G 0A 7S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CelebriniEkholm

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Macklin Celebrini

2games (1 left)

3.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK3.0 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

Mattias Ekholm

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Macklin Celebrini or Mattias Ekholm in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43. Celebrini had 115 points in 82 games; Ekholm had 41 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Macklin Celebrini or Mattias Ekholm?
On 2025-26 numbers, Macklin Celebrini leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Celebrini and Ekholm done against each other?
In 6 games against each other in our data, Celebrini's team went 1–5. Celebrini had 4 points (2 goals) and Ekholm had 5 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →