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Who to start · 2025-26

Macklin Celebrini vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Macklin CelebriniMacklin CelebriniSharks · CentrevsRyan Nugent-HopkinsRyan Nugent-HopkinsOilers · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70.

Celebrini had 115 points in 82 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.

This week Celebrini has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Nugent-Hopkins has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Celebrini for 3.0 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.

Macklin Celebrini has the better number in 24 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.

Celebrini's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1036, Plus/minus +8, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.45.

Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: High-danger chances 54.8%, Forecheck xG /60 0.34, Top skating speed 22.8.

Head to head on the dot, Celebrini leads Nugent-Hopkins 18–6.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 7 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Macklin Celebrini

2.89

fantasy points per game

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

1.70

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Macklin Celebrini has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCelebriniNugent-Hopkins
Goals (+2)1.100.56
Assists (+1)0.850.50
Power-play points (+0.5)0.200.20
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.18
Hits (+0.1)0.060.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.320.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Celebrini vs Nugent-Hopkins

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CelebriniNugent-Hopkins
1Team record in 7 meetings6
5Points in those games3

Celebrini 2G 3A, 20 SOG · Nugent-Hopkins 1G 2A, 12 SOG

18Faceoffs against each other6

Celebrini's offensive zone 5–1 · neutral 7–5 · Celebrini's defensive zone 6–0 (2024-25 to 2025-26)

0Shots blocked by the other1

Celebrini blocked 0 of Nugent-Hopkins's shots; Nugent-Hopkins blocked 1 of Celebrini's.

On the ice against each other (Celebrini's side)

17:14 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Celebrini's side

Shot attempts
19–16
54.3%
Expected goals
0.9–0.6
62.9%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between Macklin Celebrini and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
DateScoreCelebriniNugent-Hopkins
2026-04-08SJS 2–5 EDM1G 0A 4S0G 1A 2S
2026-03-17SJS 3–5 EDM0G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S
2026-02-28SJS 5–4 EDM1G 0A 7S0G 0A 2S
2026-01-29SJS 3–4 EDM0G 1A 1S0G 1A 1S
2025-04-16SJS 0–3 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-04-03SJS 2–3 EDM0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-12-21SJS 2–3 EDM0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CelebriniNugent-Hopkins

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Macklin Celebrini

2games (1 left)

3.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK3.0 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Macklin Celebrini or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70. Celebrini had 115 points in 82 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Macklin Celebrini or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
On 2025-26 numbers, Macklin Celebrini leads in 24 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Celebrini and Nugent-Hopkins done against each other?
In 7 games against each other in our data, Celebrini's team went 1–6. Celebrini had 5 points (2 goals) and Nugent-Hopkins had 3 (1 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Celebrini or Nugent-Hopkins?
Against each other, Celebrini has won 18 and Nugent-Hopkins 6 of their 24 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →