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Who to start · 2025-26

Macklin Celebrini vs Tage Thompson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tage Thompson's 2.26.

Celebrini had 115 points in 82 games; Thompson had 81 in 81 games.

This week Celebrini has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Thompson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Celebrini for 3.0 ESPN points to Thompson's 2.6.

Macklin Celebrini has the better number in 25 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Celebrini's biggest edges: Goals above expected +5.9, Plus/minus +8, Ascension score 62.

Thompson's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.008, Top skating speed 22.8, High-danger chances 49.9%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 7 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Macklin Celebrini

3.00

fantasy points per game

Tage Thompson

2.26

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Macklin Celebrini has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCelebriniThompson
Goals (+2)1.030.93
Assists (+1)0.990.47
Power-play points (+0.5)0.220.14
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.370.34
Hits (+0.1)0.060.10
Blocks (+0.5)0.330.28

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Celebrini vs Thompson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CelebriniThompson
1Team record in 3 meetings2
2Points in those games2

Celebrini 2G 0A, 5 SOG · Thompson 2G 0A, 5 SOG

2Faceoffs against each other1

Celebrini's offensive zone 1–1 · neutral 0–0 · Celebrini's defensive zone 1–0 (2025-26)

On the ice against each other (Celebrini's side)

8:56 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Celebrini's side

Shot attempts
12–10
54.5%
Expected goals
0.6–0.7
44.7%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Macklin Celebrini and Tage Thompson
DateScoreCelebriniThompson
2026-03-19SJS 0–5 BUF0G 0A 1S1G 0A 1S
2026-03-10SJS 3–6 BUF1G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-04SJS 6–2 BUF1G 0A 3S1G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CelebriniThompson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Macklin Celebrini

2games (1 left)

3.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK3.0 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

Tage Thompson

2games (1 left)

2.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to CLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.6 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

FAQ

Should I start Macklin Celebrini or Tage Thompson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tage Thompson's 2.26. Celebrini had 115 points in 82 games; Thompson had 81 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Macklin Celebrini or Tage Thompson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Macklin Celebrini leads in 25 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Celebrini and Thompson done against each other?
In 3 games against each other in our data, Celebrini's team went 1–2. Celebrini had 2 points (2 goals) and Thompson had 2 (2 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Celebrini or Thompson?
Against each other, Celebrini has won 2 and Thompson 1 of their 3 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →