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Who to start · 2025-26

Mario Ferraro vs Ryan O'Reilly

Mario FerraroMario FerraroJets · DefencevsRyan O'ReillyRyan O'ReillyPredators · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71.

Ferraro had 23 points in 82 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.

This week Ferraro has 1 game left; O'Reilly has 1 left. We project O'Reilly for 1.7 ESPN points to Ferraro's 1.5.

Ryan O'Reilly has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Ferraro's biggest edges: Hits 137, Hardest shot 95.6, Goals above expected +2.7.

O'Reilly's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 44.6%, Corsi 52.6%, Power-play share 60.2%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mario Ferraro

1.71

fantasy points per game

Ryan O'Reilly

1.90

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Ryan O'Reilly has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromFerraroO'Reilly
Goals (+2)0.290.58
Assists (+1)0.180.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.130.20
Hits (+0.1)0.160.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.950.38

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Ferraro vs O'Reilly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

FerraroO'Reilly
4Team record in 21 meetings17
9Points in those games17

Ferraro 2G 7A, 26 SOG · O'Reilly 4G 13A, 33 SOG

2Hits on each other0
2Shots blocked by the other0

Ferraro blocked 2 of O'Reilly's shots; O'Reilly blocked 0 of Ferraro's.

On the ice against each other (Ferraro's side)

12:01 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Ferraro's side

Shot attempts
6–14
30.0%
Expected goals
0.3–1.0
24.8%
Goals
0–2

Games against each other

Games between Mario Ferraro and Ryan O'Reilly
DateScoreFerraroO'Reilly
2026-04-13SJS 3–2 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S
2026-04-04SJS 3–6 NSH0G 0A 0S1G 1A 1S
2026-03-24SJS 3–6 NSH0G 1A 1S0G 2A 0S
2025-03-11SJS 2–3 NSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-01-23SJS 5–6 NSH1G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-01-21SJS 5–7 NSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2024-03-19SJS 2–8 NSH1G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2024-02-24SJS 2–4 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-10-21SJS 1–5 NSH0G 1A 5S0G 0A 1S
2022-11-10SJS 3–5 STL0G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S
2022-04-21SJS 1–3 STL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2021-11-18SJS 1–4 STL0G 0A 0S0G 1A 5S

Latest 12 of 21 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

FerraroO'Reilly

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mario Ferraro

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.5 pts

Ryan O'Reilly

2games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL1.7 pts
    Schedule edge +9.3 win%

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Mario Ferraro or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71. Ferraro had 23 points in 82 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mario Ferraro or Ryan O'Reilly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan O'Reilly leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Ferraro and O'Reilly done against each other?
In 21 games against each other in our data, Ferraro's team went 4–17. Ferraro had 9 points (2 goals) and O'Reilly had 17 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →