Who to start · 2025-26
Mario Ferraro vs Steven Stamkos
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Steven Stamkos projects to 2.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71.
Ferraro had 23 points in 82 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games.
This week Ferraro has 1 game left; Stamkos has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Stamkos for 2.0 ESPN points to Ferraro's 1.6.
Steven Stamkos has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Ferraro's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 −0.21, Plus/minus −1, Blocked shots 150.
Stamkos's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.6%, Power-play share 67.0%, Forecheck xG /60 0.43.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mario Ferraro
1.71
fantasy points per game
Steven Stamkos
2.00
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Steven Stamkos has the edge.
| Points per game from | Ferraro | Stamkos |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.29 | 0.96 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.18 | 0.34 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.13 | 0.24 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.95 | 0.21 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Ferraro vs Stamkos
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Ferraro 1G 2A, 19 SOG · Stamkos 9G 8A, 43 SOG
Ferraro blocked 2 of Stamkos's shots; Stamkos blocked 0 of Ferraro's.
On the ice against each other (Ferraro's side)
10:22 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Ferraro's side
- Shot attempts
- 7–13
- 35.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–1.0
- 25.7%
- Goals
- 0–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Ferraro | Stamkos |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | SJS 3–2 NSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 9S |
| 2026-04-04 | SJS 3–6 NSH | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2026-03-24 | SJS 3–6 NSH | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-11 | SJS 2–3 NSH | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-23 | SJS 5–6 NSH | 1G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2025-01-21 | SJS 5–7 NSH | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2024-03-21 | SJS 1–4 TBL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-10-26 | SJS 0–6 TBL | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2023-02-07 | SJS 4–3 TBL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2022-10-29 | SJS 3–4 TBL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-02-01 | SJS 2–3 TBL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-01-22 | SJS 1–7 TBL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 3S |
Latest 12 of 14 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Mario Ferraro
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.6 ptsOpp allows 15th-most FP to DLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Steven Stamkos
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MINOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 ptsOpp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mario Ferraro or Steven Stamkos in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Steven Stamkos projects to 2.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71. Ferraro had 23 points in 82 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mario Ferraro or Steven Stamkos?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Steven Stamkos leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Ferraro and Stamkos done against each other?
- In 14 games against each other in our data, Ferraro's team went 2–12. Ferraro had 3 points (1 goals) and Stamkos had 17 (9 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →