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Who to start · 2025-26

Mario Ferraro vs Timo Meier

Mario FerraroMario FerraroJets · DefencevsTimo MeierTimo MeierDevils · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Timo Meier projects to 1.74 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71.

Ferraro had 23 points in 82 games; Meier had 44 in 77 games.

This week Ferraro has 1 game left; Meier has 1 left. We project Meier for 1.9 ESPN points to Ferraro's 1.6.

Timo Meier has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Ferraro's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.7, Luck Meter +50, On-ice PDO 1007.

Meier's biggest edges: Corsi 54.3%, Fenwick 54.0%, Transition attempts /60 2.14.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mario Ferraro

1.71

fantasy points per game

Timo Meier

1.74

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Timo Meier has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromFerraroMeier
Goals (+2)0.290.58
Assists (+1)0.180.24
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.130.35
Hits (+0.1)0.160.17
Blocks (+0.5)0.950.32

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Ferraro vs Meier

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

FerraroMeier
4Team record in 6 meetings2
2Points in those games2

Ferraro 0G 2A, 9 SOG · Meier 0G 2A, 14 SOG

1Hits on each other2
4Shots blocked by the other0

Ferraro blocked 4 of Meier's shots; Meier blocked 0 of Ferraro's.

1Goals set up by the other4

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice against each other (Ferraro's side)

12:51 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Ferraro's side

Shot attempts
10–14
41.7%
Expected goals
0.8–0.3
73.1%
Goals
3–0

Games against each other

Games between Mario Ferraro and Timo Meier
DateScoreFerraroMeier
2025-10-30SJS 5–2 NJD0G 1A 0S0G 0A 2S
2025-10-24SJS 1–3 NJD0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-01-04SJS 3–2 NJD0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-11-10SJS 1–0 NJD0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-02-27SJS 2–7 NJD0G 0A 3S0G 2A 1S
2023-12-01SJS 6–3 NJD0G 1A 1S0G 0A 5S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

FerraroMeier

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mario Ferraro

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.6 pts
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to DLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

Timo Meier

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.9 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Mario Ferraro or Timo Meier in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Timo Meier projects to 1.74 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71. Ferraro had 23 points in 82 games; Meier had 44 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mario Ferraro or Timo Meier?
On 2025-26 numbers, Timo Meier leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Ferraro and Meier done against each other?
In 6 games against each other in our data, Ferraro's team went 4–2. Ferraro had 2 points (0 goals) and Meier had 2 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →