Who to start · 2025-26
Mario Ferraro vs Will Smith
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Will Smith projects to 1.94 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71.
Ferraro had 23 points in 82 games; Smith had 59 in 69 games.
This week Ferraro has 1 game left; Smith has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Smith for 1.9 ESPN points to Ferraro's 1.6.
Will Smith has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Ferraro's biggest edges: Hits 137, Blocked shots 150, Faceoffs won 0.
Smith's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 44.3%, Offensive-zone start % 68.9%, Transition attempts /60 2.05.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mario Ferraro
1.71
fantasy points per game
Will Smith
1.94
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Will Smith has the edge.
| Points per game from | Ferraro | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.29 | 0.90 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.18 | 0.54 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.13 | 0.24 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.95 | 0.08 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Ferraro vs Smith
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice together
287:28 at 5-on-5 over 69 games, 2025-26
- Shot attempts
- 248–286
- 46.4%
- Expected goals
- 13.7–13.1
- 51.2%
- Goals
- 20–10
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Mario Ferraro
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.6 ptsOpp allows 15th-most FP to DLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Will Smith
2games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.9 ptsOpp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mario Ferraro or Will Smith in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Will Smith projects to 1.94 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71. Ferraro had 23 points in 82 games; Smith had 59 in 69 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mario Ferraro or Will Smith?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Will Smith leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →