Who to start · 2025-26
Mark Scheifele vs Pavel Buchnevich
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mark Scheifele projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.
Scheifele had 103 points in 82 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games.
This week Scheifele has 1 game left; Buchnevich has 1 left. We project Scheifele for 2.4 ESPN points to Buchnevich's 1.4.
Mark Scheifele has the better number in 29 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Scheifele's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.4, Luck Meter +67, Offensive-zone start % 70.0%.
Buchnevich's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.31, Expected goals 52.5%, High-danger chances 50.1%.
Head to head on the dot, Scheifele leads Buchnevich 11–8.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mark Scheifele
2.23
fantasy points per game
Pavel Buchnevich
1.30
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mark Scheifele has the edge.
| Points per game from | Scheifele | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.82 | 0.46 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.77 | 0.32 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Scheifele vs Buchnevich
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Scheifele 10G 16A, 43 SOG · Buchnevich 9G 12A, 49 SOG
Scheifele's offensive zone 4–3 · neutral 2–1 · Scheifele's defensive zone 5–4 (2022-23 to 2025-26)
Scheifele blocked 1 of Buchnevich's shots; Buchnevich blocked 0 of Scheifele's.
On the ice against each other (Scheifele's side)
27:10 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Scheifele's side
- Shot attempts
- 29–28
- 50.9%
- Expected goals
- 1.3–1.8
- 41.7%
- Goals
- 2–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Scheifele | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | WPG 3–2 STL | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2026-03-15 | WPG 3–2 STL | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-01-20 | WPG 3–1 STL | 2G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-12-17 | WPG 0–1 STL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-04-30 · PO | WPG 5–3 STL | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-04-27 · PO | WPG 1–5 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-04-24 · PO | WPG 2–7 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 3G 1A 5S |
| 2025-04-21 · PO | WPG 2–1 STL | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-04-19 · PO | WPG 5–3 STL | 1G 2A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-04-07 | WPG 3–1 STL | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-02-22 | WPG 4–3 STL | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 2A 3S |
| 2024-10-22 | WPG 3–2 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 23 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Mark Scheifele
2games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET2.4 pts
Pavel Buchnevich
2games (1 left)
1.4proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.4 ptsSchedule edge −12.8 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mark Scheifele or Pavel Buchnevich in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mark Scheifele projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Scheifele had 103 points in 82 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mark Scheifele or Pavel Buchnevich?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Mark Scheifele leads in 29 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Scheifele and Buchnevich done against each other?
- In 23 games against each other in our data, Scheifele's team went 16–7. Scheifele had 26 points (10 goals) and Buchnevich had 21 (9 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Scheifele or Buchnevich?
- Against each other, Scheifele has won 11 and Buchnevich 8 of their 19 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →