Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Mark Scheifele vs Tom Wilson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mark Scheifele's 2.23.

Scheifele had 103 points in 82 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games.

This week Scheifele has 1 game left; Wilson has 1 left. We project Scheifele for 2.4 ESPN points to Wilson's 2.2.

Mark Scheifele has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Scheifele's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.24, Offensive-zone start % 70.0%, Faceoffs won 594.

Wilson's biggest edges: Hits 179, Forecheck xG /60 0.51, High-danger chances 56.3%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mark Scheifele

2.23

fantasy points per game

Tom Wilson

2.24

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Tom Wilson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromScheifeleWilson
Goals (+2)0.820.78
Assists (+1)0.770.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.130.08
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.20
Hits (+0.1)0.040.25
Blocks (+0.5)0.270.44

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Scheifele vs Wilson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ScheifeleWilson
6Team record in 10 meetings4
15Points in those games7

Scheifele 6G 9A, 20 SOG · Wilson 2G 5A, 14 SOG

0Faceoffs against each other1

Scheifele's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 0–0 · Scheifele's defensive zone 0–0 (2019-20)

1Hits on each other2
1Shots blocked by the other0

Scheifele blocked 1 of Wilson's shots; Wilson blocked 0 of Scheifele's.

On the ice against each other (Scheifele's side)

12:54 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Scheifele's side

Shot attempts
19–13
59.4%
Expected goals
1.2–0.4
74.1%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Mark Scheifele and Tom Wilson
DateScoreScheifeleWilson
2025-12-13WPG 5–1 WSH0G 2A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-26WPG 3–4 WSH1G 0A 3S0G 1A 0S
2025-03-25WPG 3–2 WSH0G 1A 0S0G 0A 1S
2025-02-01WPG 5–4 WSH0G 2A 0S1G 1A 2S
2022-01-18WPG 3–4 WSH0G 2A 6S1G 1A 4S
2020-02-27WPG 3–0 WSH1G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S
2020-02-25WPG 3–4 WSH1G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2019-03-10WPG 1–3 WSH0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2018-11-14WPG 3–1 WSH1G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2018-02-13WPG 4–3 WSH2G 1A 4S0G 1A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ScheifeleWilson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mark Scheifele

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET2.4 pts

Tom Wilson

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.2 pts

FAQ

Should I start Mark Scheifele or Tom Wilson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mark Scheifele's 2.23. Scheifele had 103 points in 82 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mark Scheifele or Tom Wilson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mark Scheifele leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Scheifele and Wilson done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Scheifele's team went 6–4. Scheifele had 15 points (6 goals) and Wilson had 7 (2 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Scheifele or Wilson?
Against each other, Scheifele has won 0 and Wilson 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →