Who to start · 2025-26
Mark Scheifele vs Tomas Hertl
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mark Scheifele projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88.
Scheifele had 103 points in 82 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.
This week Scheifele has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Hertl has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hertl for 2.0 ESPN points to Scheifele's 1.6.
Tomas Hertl has the better number in 19 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Scheifele's biggest edges: Luck Meter +67, Goals above expected +3.3, On-ice PDO 1022.
Hertl's biggest edges: High-danger chances 59.2%, Faceoff win % 57.8%, Draw Equity /100 +0.096.
Head to head on the dot, Hertl leads Scheifele 73–43.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mark Scheifele
2.23
fantasy points per game
Tomas Hertl
1.88
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mark Scheifele has the edge.
| Points per game from | Scheifele | Hertl |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.82 | 0.63 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.77 | 0.37 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.14 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Scheifele vs Hertl
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Scheifele 3G 8A, 30 SOG · Hertl 5G 6A, 49 SOG
Scheifele's offensive zone 26–26 · neutral 10–22 · Scheifele's defensive zone 7–25 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
Scheifele blocked 2 of Hertl's shots; Hertl blocked 1 of Scheifele's.
On the ice against each other (Scheifele's side)
9:19 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Scheifele's side
- Shot attempts
- 12–12
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 1.1–0.7
- 61.6%
- Goals
- 2–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Scheifele | Hertl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | WPG 2–6 VGK | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2026-03-24 | WPG 4–1 VGK | 1G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2026-01-06 | WPG 3–4 VGK | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2024-12-12 | WPG 2–3 VGK | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-11-29 | WPG 3–4 VGK | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-01-04 | WPG 2–1 SJS | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-12-12 | WPG 1–2 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-04-10 | WPG 6–2 SJS | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-03-28 | WPG 0–3 SJS | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-03-06 | WPG 2–3 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2021-11-11 | WPG 4–1 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2021-10-16 | WPG 3–4 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 3S |
Latest 12 of 17 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Mark Scheifele
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.6 ptsOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Tomas Hertl
3games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANAOpp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mark Scheifele or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mark Scheifele projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88. Scheifele had 103 points in 82 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mark Scheifele or Tomas Hertl?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tomas Hertl leads in 19 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Scheifele and Hertl done against each other?
- In 17 games against each other in our data, Scheifele's team went 6–11. Scheifele had 11 points (3 goals) and Hertl had 11 (5 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Scheifele or Hertl?
- Against each other, Scheifele has won 43 and Hertl 73 of their 116 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →