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Who to start · 2025-26

Martin Necas vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Martin Necas projects to 2.40 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70.

Necas had 100 points in 78 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.

This week Necas has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Nugent-Hopkins has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Necas for 1.7 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.

Martin Necas has the better number in 24 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Necas's biggest edges: Plus/minus +47, On-ice PDO 1054, 20+ mph bursts 348.

Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 172, Forecheck xG /60 0.34, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.065.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Martin Necas

2.46

fantasy points per game

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

1.70

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Martin Necas has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromNecasNugent-Hopkins
Goals (+2)0.970.56
Assists (+1)0.790.50
Power-play points (+0.5)0.150.20
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.260.18
Hits (+0.1)0.110.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.170.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Necas vs Nugent-Hopkins

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

NecasNugent-Hopkins
9Team record in 13 meetings4
10Points in those games14

Necas 5G 5A, 26 SOG · Nugent-Hopkins 5G 9A, 23 SOG

0Faceoffs against each other3

Necas's offensive zone 0–2 · neutral 0–0 · Necas's defensive zone 0–1 (2022-23 to 2023-24)

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Necas's side)

8:49 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Necas's side

Shot attempts
15–3
83.3%
Expected goals
0.4–0.2
62.4%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Martin Necas and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
DateScoreNecasNugent-Hopkins
2026-04-13COL 2–1 EDM0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2026-03-10COL 3–4 EDM1G 0A 4S2G 0A 2S
2025-11-08COL 9–1 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-02-07COL 5–4 EDM1G 0A 3S0G 2A 0S
2024-10-22CAR 3–2 EDM1G 2A 3S0G 1A 2S
2023-12-06CAR 1–6 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2023-11-22CAR 6–3 EDM1G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2022-11-10CAR 7–2 EDM0G 2A 1S0G 0A 1S
2022-10-20CAR 4–6 EDM1G 1A 2S1G 3A 2S
2021-12-11CAR 3–1 EDM0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2020-02-16CAR 3–4 EDM0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2019-12-10CAR 6–3 EDM0G 0A 1S1G 0A 4S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

NecasNugent-Hopkins

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Martin Necas

2games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.7 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Martin Necas or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Martin Necas projects to 2.40 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70. Necas had 100 points in 78 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Martin Necas or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
On 2025-26 numbers, Martin Necas leads in 24 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Necas and Nugent-Hopkins done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Necas's team went 9–4. Necas had 10 points (5 goals) and Nugent-Hopkins had 14 (5 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Necas or Nugent-Hopkins?
Against each other, Necas has won 0 and Nugent-Hopkins 3 of their 3 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →