Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Martin Necas vs Tyler Toffoli

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Martin Necas projects to 2.40 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.

Necas had 100 points in 78 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.

This week Necas has 1 game left; Toffoli has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Necas for 2.1 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.5.

Martin Necas has the better number in 30 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Necas's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.9, Plus/minus +47, 20+ mph bursts 348.

Toffoli's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.004, Transition attempts /60 1.64, Blocked shots 31.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Martin Necas

2.40

fantasy points per game

Tyler Toffoli

1.35

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Martin Necas has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromNecasToffoli
Goals (+2)0.910.45
Assists (+1)0.810.36
Power-play points (+0.5)0.140.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.270.21
Hits (+0.1)0.110.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.160.18

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Necas vs Toffoli

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

NecasToffoli
9Team record in 11 meetings2
10Points in those games6

Necas 4G 6A, 22 SOG · Toffoli 3G 3A, 33 SOG

0Hits on each other1

On the ice against each other (Necas's side)

7:21 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Necas's side

Shot attempts
10–8
55.6%
Expected goals
0.4–0.3
56.4%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Martin Necas and Tyler Toffoli
DateScoreNecasToffoli
2025-11-26COL 6–0 SJS0G 2A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-11-01COL 2–3 SJS1G 0A 4S0G 1A 3S
2025-03-06COL 7–3 SJS1G 1A 3S0G 1A 3S
2024-12-10CAR 3–2 SJS0G 1A 3S0G 0A 3S
2024-02-10CAR 1–0 NJD0G 1A 1S0G 0A 6S
2024-01-25CAR 3–2 NJD0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2022-11-26CAR 3–2 CGY1G 0A 4S1G 0A 2S
2022-10-22CAR 2–3 CGY0G 0A 1S1G 1A 4S
2021-10-21CAR 4–1 MTL0G 1A 0S1G 0A 4S
2020-01-11CAR 2–0 LAK0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2019-10-15CAR 2–0 LAK1G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

NecasToffoli

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Martin Necas

2games (1 left)

2.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.1 pts
    Schedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

Tyler Toffoli

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

FAQ

Should I start Martin Necas or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Martin Necas projects to 2.40 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Necas had 100 points in 78 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Martin Necas or Tyler Toffoli?
On 2025-26 numbers, Martin Necas leads in 30 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Necas and Toffoli done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Necas's team went 9–2. Necas had 10 points (4 goals) and Toffoli had 6 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →