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Who to start · 2025-26

Matt Boldy vs Nikolaj Ehlers

Matt BoldyMatt BoldyWild · Left wingvsNikolaj EhlersNikolaj EhlersHurricanes · Left wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matt Boldy projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65.

Boldy had 85 points in 76 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games.

This week Boldy has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Ehlers has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Ehlers for 1.9 ESPN points to Boldy's 1.8.

Matt Boldy has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Boldy's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1031, Blocked shots 58, Luck Meter +68.

Ehlers's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.024, Offensive-zone start % 67.3%, Forecheck xG /60 0.31.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Matt Boldy

2.55

fantasy points per game

Nikolaj Ehlers

1.65

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Matt Boldy has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBoldyEhlers
Goals (+2)1.040.56
Assists (+1)0.530.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.190.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.030.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.340.26
Hits (+0.1)0.070.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.360.16

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Boldy vs Ehlers

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BoldyEhlers
2Team record in 11 meetings9
4Points in those games5

Boldy 4G 0A, 28 SOG · Ehlers 2G 3A, 29 SOG

0Shots blocked by the other2

Boldy blocked 0 of Ehlers's shots; Ehlers blocked 2 of Boldy's.

On the ice against each other (Boldy's side)

4:29 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Boldy's side

Shot attempts
1–7
12.5%
Expected goals
0.0–0.3
8.7%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Matt Boldy and Nikolaj Ehlers
DateScoreBoldyEhlers
2025-11-19MIN 4–3 CAR1G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2025-11-06MIN 3–4 CAR2G 0A 3S1G 0A 4S
2024-12-21MIN 0–5 WPG0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2024-11-25MIN 1–4 WPG0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2024-10-13MIN 1–2 WPG0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-04-06MIN 2–4 WPG0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2024-02-20MIN 3–6 WPG0G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2023-12-31MIN 2–3 WPG0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S
2023-12-30MIN 2–4 WPG1G 0A 5S0G 0A 4S
2023-04-11MIN 1–3 WPG0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2023-03-08MIN 4–2 WPG0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BoldyEhlers

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Matt Boldy

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.8 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

Nikolaj Ehlers

3games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to LWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Likely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.9 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −12.8 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Matt Boldy or Nikolaj Ehlers in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matt Boldy projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65. Boldy had 85 points in 76 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Matt Boldy or Nikolaj Ehlers?
On 2025-26 numbers, Matt Boldy leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Boldy and Ehlers done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Boldy's team went 2–9. Boldy had 4 points (4 goals) and Ehlers had 5 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →