Who to start · 2025-26
Matt Boldy vs Pavel Buchnevich
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matt Boldy projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.
Boldy had 85 points in 76 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games.
This week Boldy has 1 game left; Buchnevich has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Boldy for 1.8 ESPN points to Buchnevich's 1.5.
Matt Boldy has the better number in 29 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Boldy's biggest edges: Plus/minus +18, Transition attempts /60 1.56, Luck Meter +65.
Buchnevich's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.022, Forecheck xG /60 0.31, Offensive-zone start % 53.1%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Matt Boldy
2.55
fantasy points per game
Pavel Buchnevich
1.30
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Matt Boldy has the edge.
| Points per game from | Boldy | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.04 | 0.46 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.53 | 0.32 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.08 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.34 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.36 | 0.23 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Boldy vs Buchnevich
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Boldy 4G 8A, 49 SOG · Buchnevich 7G 15A, 44 SOG
Boldy blocked 0 of Buchnevich's shots; Buchnevich blocked 2 of Boldy's.
On the ice against each other (Boldy's side)
7:21 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Boldy's side
- Shot attempts
- 8–4
- 66.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.3
- 51.2%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Boldy | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | MIN 1–3 STL | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2025-10-09 | MIN 5–0 STL | 1G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-03-15 | MIN 1–5 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2025-01-07 | MIN 6–4 STL | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-11-19 | MIN 4–2 STL | 0G 1A 6S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-10-15 | MIN 4–1 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-03-23 | MIN 4–5 STL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 3A 0S |
| 2024-03-16 | MIN 2–3 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-03-02 | MIN 1–3 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-11-28 | MIN 3–1 STL | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-04-08 | MIN 5–3 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-03-15 | MIN 8–5 STL | 0G 2A 1S | 3G 0A 4S |
Latest 12 of 21 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Matt Boldy
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NSHOpp allows 12th-most FP to LWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.8 ptsOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)
Pavel Buchnevich
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DALOpp allows 11th-most FP to LWLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Matt Boldy or Pavel Buchnevich in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matt Boldy projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Boldy had 85 points in 76 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Matt Boldy or Pavel Buchnevich?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Matt Boldy leads in 29 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Boldy and Buchnevich done against each other?
- In 21 games against each other in our data, Boldy's team went 10–11. Boldy had 12 points (4 goals) and Buchnevich had 22 (7 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →